Bearish oil market and USD trend formation

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

Oil & Dollars

EURUSD

The previous week became quite productive for the pair. On Wednesday, after FOMC comments, the American dollar got under pressure. Despite of the fact that the committee mentioned improvements in the economy and risks decline in the nearest perspective, the comment did not include anything about rate increase next time, as it was done last October before they raised the rate in December. They just made a standard comment about readiness to make it on any of the next meetings. But definitely this is not the sign for the tightening in the nearest future. Either the members of Federal Reserve have more…

Mature divergence of Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

FRS

EURUSD

This week good news from the USA economy continued to appear. However, some noticeable strengthening of the American currency came into view only by the end of the week. EURUSD ended Friday trading below 1.10 and was more than a figure away from the 200 MA. Such position allows us to talk about potential for the further decline when the trading starts the next week. Dollar bulls are inspired by the several good releases from the US economy.

Building permits and housing starts were better than expected and indicated the further growth. Existing houses sales reached 5.57 m. showing the highest level more…

Birth of oil trend changing

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

Oil

EURUSD

The pair is showing that short-term bottom was formed in the end of last week. At the moment it reaches 1.13 without any significant news and comments. More confidently we can comment the short-term turn after hitting resistance level at 1.1320 (38.2% rebound from April peaks), then the nearest target may become 1.1350 level, and later on – 1.14 and 1.1450. In the news today we are waiting for release of Housing market index from NAHB, though we are not expecting it can move market seriously. Tomorrow’s Germany and Eurozone ZEW Economic sentiment have much more chances to move the market. more…

The dollar could not grow on payrolls

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

Payrolls

EURUSD

Employment indicators from the USA managed to help the American currency in the short term. After quite unusual growth of the pair by 70 points before the release, EURUSD affected by the good statistics from the USA has dropped by 10 points at 1.1330, but it finished the week at 1.1390 showing increase by more than 2 figures. Probably, investors lean towards selling other assets versus USD rather than EUR. Though, Friday reaction could be just reflection of market model that was dominated in the first quarter, meanwhile other assets could have the profits fixation from the expectations of the USD more…

Short-term bottom of USDCAD

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

USDCAD

EURUSD

Trading activity went quiet not getting news releases alongside with Eater holidays in banks, main market players. EURUSD is keeping moving at 1.1150 since Thursday. Though, during this period we did not have any significant macroeconomic data release. We can stress only the GDP 4th quarter increase. Yearly growth of GDP (quarter dynamics multiplied by four) reached 1.4% against the expected 1.0%. The nice surprise should not be considered that big if we take into consideration that the increase has occurred due to reassessment of personal consumer spending. For the time being this did not make any impact for Forex market. more…