Carry –trade is ruling the markets again

Carry-trade

EURUSD

The pair is trying desperately to keep stable after it reached the important support level, which managed to withstand multiple bears’ attacks in 2015. However, on Wednesday, which had the full American session on this week, the bears made attempt to press in the important levels. Eventually, EURUSD decreased till 1.0510. The important thing is that the main driver of pair’s weakening was escaping to risky assets. Due to the above, the common currency was losing its attractiveness, as during last years. On Thursday and Friday the trades were not so active, so the markets were fixing profits from the beginning more…

Geopolitics strikes at the markets

EUR/USD

The safe assets are again appreciating. At night Obama permitted air strikes at Iraq, which certainly intensified the geopolitical tension in Eurasia. Ukraine and Russia, Gaza and Israel, Syria and Libya – all these countries are a cause for concern not only among cautious traders already. During yesterday’s press-conference the ECB President Mario Draghi often mentioned sharp strengthening of the geopolitical risks in the region, which tells negatively on the EU economy and puts pressure on the euro. Most likely, the negative, caused by the restriction of the commodity and money flow due to the EU sanctions and Russia’s counter measures, more…

Kiwi cannot fly

EUR/USD

Another attack of bears pushed the single currency down against the US dollar and the British pound yesterday. The reason for the pair’s decline below the previous low was formally in the divergence of fundamental statistics. The final EU Services PMIs generally didn’t reach the preceding and forecasted rates. The only exception was Germany, whose PMI was raised from 56.6 to 56.7, but even there the Composite PMI was revised down because of the reduction of the Manufacturing PMI. Upon the whole the EU services sector is demonstrating the most active growth since May 2011, but the fact that the index more…

Persistent purchasing of EUR

EUR/USD

It was quite a boring trading session for the pair, nothing to compare with Brazil’s defeat in the semifinal. It is not the first time the US dollar takes timid attempts to grow in the morning and then falls down in the afternoon. It is remarkable that the depreciation of the US currency (the growth of EURUSD) is going on against the correction in the stock exchanges. The latter are concerned about the ratio of corporate profits before the beginning of the reporting season – Samsung’s downward revision of the forecasts has its effect. Anyway, it doesn’t spoil the general picture more…

EUR is sold while growing

EUR/USD

The euro’s shy attempts to recoup its losses on Friday faced a serious obstacle. While there’s no clear-cut downtrend in the pair, bulls don’t seem to be very strong either. The situation looks as though below its 200-day MA the euro was sold on upward bounces instead of being purchased on the dips as it has been in the previous months. If only bulls were as strong as before, they would, most likely, take advantage of the poor US statistics, released last week. Thus, Thursday’s publication of the retail sales data reported growth by 0.3% in May against the expected 0.5%-0.7%. more…