Currencies and stocks are again apart

EUR/USD

The euro’s behaviour on Friday was really unnerving. Having summoned up all strength with the help of other currencies, bulls directed all efforts to sweep away bearish positions in the pair. For a couple of hours the pair was pushed from the daily low of 1.3660 up to 1.3738 and then was accurately put back to 1.3677. Forex hasn’t managed to go far from this level by now and trading is held at 1.3685. The calmness of the currency market is noteworthy as in the meantime stock exchanges suffered heavy selling. It is also true that earlier stocks felt good as more…

From zero interest rates down to negative ones?

EUR/USD

EURUSD is getting closer to last week’s highs, again trying to consolidate above 1.3550. From the technical viewpoint, there are no serious resistances right up to 1.3750/80. Last week the pair couldn’t go higher because of Bloomberg’s article about possible introduction of the negative deposit rate in the ECB and because of the following release of FOMC’s meeting minutes. These minutes also pointed out a possibility of negative rates on the Fed’s excess cash. Today the markets are worried about the following news: the biggest US banks wrote that should negative interest rates on excess cash be introduced they would be more…

Classic Forex market

EUR/USD

Lull in Forex is accompanied by across-the-board growth of stock exchanges. At the end of the previous week the single currency tried to continue its upsurge towards the yearly highs, but was stopped at 1.3700. The bears managed to go off these levels by 30pips and since then the currency has been trading mainly there. In the meantime corporations from around the world are accounting for their profits. They demonstrate quite good results, which together with the opening of the US government and fewer risks of the QE curtailment creates a favourable environment for purchases of risky assets. One more observation more…

Bulls seek to close the month above 1.30 in EUR

EUR/USD

Instead of the expected growth the US dollar demonstrated a decline yesterday. It’s remarkable that EURUSD managed to get above 1.30. If the pair consolidates at this high, by the beginning of the week and the month we will get the rate above the important psychological level and above the 200-day MA. This disposition can arouse a considerable purchase interest. We still have doubts about the further growth, having in mind the US and EU fundamental indicators, but are less sure that this scenario will develop in the near future. As this week has showed, the US dollar does not necessarily more…

Forex bulls are slightly ahead

EUR/USD

Yesterday the US dollar was much weaker than expected. The few speculators, still staying in the market, tried to take EURUSD to 1.33, but were stopped at 1.3280. After that even the moderately negative news from the USA was enough to push the pair below 1.32. The Consumer Confidence stats were poor. Concerned about the impending fiscal cliff and frightened by press releases, Americans were very cautious about their spending and tempered their optimism. As to spending, we have a preliminary estimate of the pre-holiday activity.  It wasn’t very impressive with growth of just 1% against 2% last year. The same more…