Federal Reserve started the wave of USD weakening

USD

EURUSD

The American Fed Reserve managed to cause weakening of its own currency. On Wednesday dollar turned downwards that reflected in EURUSD rise to 1.1250 area on Monday. The same levels are highs of the previous two weeks. Moreover, the current levels are close again to the resistance line of the downtrend, which turned the pair in August and September. Hence, the current marks represent important resistance area. Continue reading

Mature divergence of Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan

FRS

EURUSD

This week good news from the USA economy continued to appear. However, some noticeable strengthening of the American currency came into view only by the end of the week. EURUSD ended Friday trading below 1.10 and was more than a figure away from the 200 MA. Such position allows us to talk about potential for the further decline when the trading starts the next week. Dollar bulls are inspired by the several good releases from the US economy. Continue reading

The United States are losing market focus

USA White House

EURUSD

After Brexit the key currency pair of Forex market is moving in a relatively tight flat channel 1.10 – 1.1160. The pair was stuck to the lower boundary of this corridor at the end of the last week. All these movements appear around 200 MA, showing to the full extent fundamental market trample without a trend. On Friday we received quite strong retail sales and CPI from the USA. However, traders are not in hurry to bet on dollar, assuming that Federal Reserve prefers to monitor the stability of the strong data before it continues policy normalization. Continue reading

It is definite now: Federal Reserve will not raise the rate

FRS building

EURUSD

During last week, the pair was going up, coming off slowly from the support line of the wide uptrend channel since last December. If we look to the pair movement through this channel, we can notice that movement in May was indicative (two previous movements took almost the same time) and fast movement from its upper boundary to the lower. However, the probability to break the support of the uptrend channel was quite big.

At least Federal Reserve members were helping it a lot, showing, one after another, that possibility and necessity of a soon policy tightening exists. Continue reading

Federal Reserve is preparing markets for the interest rate increase

FRS

EURUSD

Last week the Federal Reserve members performed active campaign for changing of market expectations about interest rates. Fed Reserve representatives referred that market volatility calmed down in comparison with the situation in the beginning of the year, while more economic indicators came to the normal levels. Moreover, April FOMC minutes have reflected either that the Committee is seriously considering the rates increase in June. We would like to mention that previous data, possessed by the Committee, were much worse than those noticed during last weeks. Simultaneously, Federal Reserve is observing foreign financial markets cautiously watching out for volatility.

Continue reading