American dollar continues to pull back and now this looks like capitulation. Its decrease identified against most assets, while USD index lost around 1.2% for more than last 24 hours, reaching the main support levels. The bulls may upset by the fact that coming news is not making favor for American currency. Advance GDP, released yesterday, was worse than expected. The first three months got 0.5% yoy against expectations 0.7% yoy. This is hardly visible 0.1% in usual for us estimation. Contrary to this growth of European economy reached 0.6% as released by Eurostat today. Though, the expected growth was only more…

The pair is slowly sliding down, recovering the previous growth and formatting the expectations for the further more serious turn. The possibility of such scenario will rise when (and if) EURUSD breaks the support line of the climbing channel that appeared at the beginning of March. Currently, there is a threat that pair will drop below 1.1300, 50 points lower from the current prices. However, it is difficult to find among macroeconomic news the only one, which is strong enough to move market from the current trend. Strong data from the non-production USA sectors in March influences market less than usual more…