Either Yellen or oil will reverse the market

By Admin in Reviews 0 Comment

Janet Yellen

EURUSD

This week EURUSD was one step away from the important resistance area – 1.14. Bulls were feeling lack of informational reason to push the pair against that level – no important news were released on Friday both from the USA and Eurozone. Even not taking this physiological level, the Dollar’s retreat looks more like capitulation. Market participants are more and more confident about the feeling that Fed reserve will not tighten the policy this year, especially in September. Meanwhile Fed officials, conversely, say more often that they should not exclude such event. Minutes of July FOMC meeting eventually caused the wave more…

Yellen cuts growth attempts of USD

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EURUSD

EURUSD

Yesterday Yellen stopped dollar’s slow strengthening. After her speech USD started declining in many market. Eventually, EURUSD is again close to 1.1330 – the highs caused by comment after March FOMC meeting. It’s not clear yet if the pair is going to pass this level but Federal Reserve, obviously, wants to weaken the dollar. Moreover, Fed Chairman has started her speech naming the risks of China’s economy slowdown. And market analysts started joking that Federal Reserve became dependant on Chinese data instead of previously dependency on the US data. Though, apart from the pressure instruments on their own currency, FRS has more…

Will Yellen become a “hawk”?

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

Janet Yellen

EURUSD

Household spending from the USA woke up market participants. Spending of Americans grew in February by 0.1% that is two times less than expected rise and is reflecting January declining tendency. Prices as well could not beat the expectations. Core PCE, the preferable inflation measure of Fed, has added 0.1% monthly after January increase by 0.3%. Though, forecasted increase was 0.2%. Annual growth rate remained the same – 1.7% y.o.y. while the forecasted growth was up to 1.8%. Personal earning continued to increase adding in February 0.2% after raise by 0.5% a month ago and by 0.3% during 3 months in more…

The bearish market for Oil

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The pressure on the dollar failed to last for all day long yesterday. EURUSD was reversed near 1.2800 and pushed off to 1.2665 during the New-York session. This decline made up for almost all losses suffered on the release of FOMC’s minutes. Now the pair is close to the support level of the short-term trend. If in the coming hours bears become more active and manage to push the pair below yesterday’s lows, the dollar will be strong enough to resume its rally and continue growing in accordance with the fundamental indicators. However, should the upward movement continue, we will probably more…

FOMC intends to act with decision

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The Fed is preparing the markets for a more dramatic increase of interest rates from the beginning of toughening. Besides, Fed Chair, despite all vagueness of her comments, made it clear that the markets were underestimating closeness of rate increases. It can be treated as a promise of the first increase already in the first 3-4 months of the next year instead of the middle of the year as expected earlier. It seems that Janet Yellen tried to imitate Greenspan, making obscure comments and leaving herself more space for maneuver. If she starts to imitate not only Greenspan’s manner of wording, more…