Federal Reserve started the wave of USD weakening

USD

EURUSD

The American Fed Reserve managed to cause weakening of its own currency. On Wednesday dollar turned downwards that reflected in EURUSD rise to 1.1250 area on Monday. The same levels are highs of the previous two weeks. Moreover, the current levels are close again to the resistance line of the downtrend, which turned the pair in August and September. Hence, the current marks represent important resistance area. Now it will not be easy for the dollar to turn back to growth, since the key event – Fed Reserve meeting – has shown not that firm attitude of committee members as expected more…

Clearer deflation in Europe

EUR/USD

The EU inflation keeps slowing down. The most important news here came yesterday from Germany, which didn’t see any price growth in November after the decline by 0.3% a month before. Yet, the annual inflation rate dropped to 0.6%. Last time inflation was that low at the end of 2009 because of the economic meltdown and cut in consumer spending. Now the situation is a bit different. The unemployment level is the lowest since the time of Germany’s reunification, as was shown in the employment report for November. Besides, it was messaged that the number of the unemployed had decreased again more…

Poor US stats push EURUSD above 1.25

EUR/USD

The single currency continues its ascent due to USD’s retreat. The latter is under pressure since the economic statistics proved to be poorer than expected by market participants. Actually, it is a franker acknowledgement of the necessity to lock in profits in USD before the final phase of the year. After Thanksgiving Day the market is likely to get more speculative and nervous. It can be vulnerable to sharp upsurges (the Pre-New Year rally) and dips (correction before the end of the year). But since in the preceding months we have seen impressive growth of the US currency and assets, correction more…

Sentiments causing a pullback

EUR/USD

The market’s unwillingness (or inability) to continue purchases of USD is so strong that it contradicts the current macroeconomic background and forces market participants to look for any chance to lock in the profits. Thus, yesterday’s revised statistics on GDP in the third quarter proved to be surprisingly strong. The annualized growth made 3.9% against the preceding rate of 3.5% and the expected downward revision to 3.3%. The growth rate against 3Q of the previous year totaled 2.4%, which speaks about quite an impressive economic growth. Also, it should be noted that the Personal Consumption Index also rose by 2.2%. Earlier more…

Asia is on the defensive

EUR/USD

The single currency continued its trip up on Monday. As a result, it reached a high of 1.2440. Ifo Business Climate proved to be better than expected and grew for the first time since April, while had been expected to fall. The index grew from 103.2 to 104.7 against the expected 103.0. Both the components of the index rose – Current Assessment and Expectations. Under such conditions growth of the single currency could be stronger, but it didn’t happen because of the pressure the euro suffers from the expectations of a more active extension of the ECB’s balance for the sake more…