Time of great motions?

EUR/USD

Yesterday the single currency managed to rally its strength, relying on the support at 1.2550. Today the pair remains under pressure so this level can fail to withstand the attack. USD’s appreciation is explained by its strength against the yen during the Asian session and also by the reduction of commodity prices, which cools down interest in the commodity currencies. Yesterday’s statistics were a bit more positive than expected, both for the euro and the dollar. Industrial and Services Confidence and their general index surpassed expectations, while Consumer Confidence remained the same. It is lightly positive news for the EU currency. more…

Fed ended QE without scruple

EUR/USD

The Federal Reserve finally put an end to bond purchasing, as had been mentioned in the earlier plans of the Committee. It was feared that the Fed would soften its stance in view of the inflation which proved to be weaker than expected and of the recent sharp decline of the stock markets. Instead of this the Committee focused on the favourable data on employment and also on consumer and business spending, explaining that these trends can become a reason for inflation acceleration. Logic is simple here. Lower unemployment increases competition between employers, which results into acceleration of earnings growth and more…

USD makes a step back before FOMC’s meeting

EUR/USD

The Ifo Business Climate Index dropped in October more than expected. The general index fell from 104.7 to 103.2, while only 104.6 had been expected. The Ifo Current Assessment and Expectations again declined simultaneously, to 108.4 and 98.3 from 110.5 and 99.3 respectively. The current rates are the lowest since the end of 2012. Investors tend to believe that in the second half of the year Germany will fall into technical recession, i.e. will suffer reduction of the GDP for at least two quarters in a row. Yet, it should be taken into account that the country has the strong beginning more…

1.2600 as a crucial correction level

EUR/USD

The single currency is still being attacked by bears. These traders have decided to take advantage of the moment and sell the euro at a higher price due to the previous correction. Besides, as has already been mentioned, in the periods of such surface lull, trading volumes are quite handsome, which enables players to store liquidity for a serious attack. Unfortunately, it is hard to understand which stance big players will take. Now it seems that the euro’s correction is coming to its end and the pair will soon reach fresh highs since the beginning of October (below 1.2500). Now trading more…

EUR suffers losses in the period of the market appreciation

EUR/USD

Yesterday the single currency fell under pressure after Reuters’ message that the ECB could start purchasing corporate bonds already in December. That news deprived the euro of about 0.7% and pushed EURUSD down to 1.2700. Formally this level held out , but it seems to be just a question of few days, when the single currency will continue its downward movement. Investment banks have already hastened to announce the end of the correction and the beginning of a new downward trend with the targets at 1.25 and in the longer term at 1.20. Weidmann, Bundesbank President and the main oppositionist of more…