A threat to correction against USD

EUR/USD

Once again the single currency suffered pressure  in the morning. The low set at 1.3118 yesterday during the Asian session held for about a day. At the time of this writing the local low in the pair is 1.3111. The decline is accounted for by the expectations of the QE by the ECB this week. At least, by the expectations that clear parameters, size and the commencement date will be announced. It should be mentioned that these are very feeble expectations. So if they are not met, we may face a serious movement in the opposite direction. Lots of players staked more…

EUR got close to 1.31

EUR/USD

This week the EU is planning to discuss a new stage of sanctions against Russia regarding help the latter delivers to the Ukrainian separatists. Their success has been producing a negative effect on the situation in the markets lately and, as a result,  has put pressure on the single currency. Another round of sanctions will hamper the economic potential of Europe even more. EURUSD has reached 1.3112 this morning in view of the growing geopolitical risks. Also, the euro is affected by hints of Mario Draghi, made a week ago in Jackson Hole. After his speech now the markets expect further more…

Geopolitics puts pressure on Europe

EUR/USD

The portfolio rebalancing and demand for the EU currencies were interrupted yesterday by Kiev’s accusations that Russia had active forces in Ukraine and helped the separatists. The UN believes that over 1000 of soldiers can be located on the territory of the neighbouring state. Such accusations imply further aggravation of the conflict. The stocks of the Russian corporations  and the ruble lost about 2 % yesterday afternoon, affecting the EU indices and currencies. Thus, EURUSD went on the defensive off the intraday high of 1.3220 and closed the day at 1.3180. Thursday’s low makes 1.3158 and it is less than 10 more…

USD’s rally to pause at the end of the month

EUR/USD

The US stock market feels more and more confident at a new level. S&P 500 has exceeded 2000 and the global asset market reached the capitalization of 66trln, as calculated by Bloomberg. Before the global financial crisis appreciation of the stock markets often turned out to be USD’s decline and strengthening of the currencies in the developing countries, which also affected EUR and the pound. Though the pound in theory can follow this very tendency against growing chances of the rate increase earlier than in the USA (see below), the euro’s recent weakness has been quite reasonable. And don’t say that more…

EUR is kept off the levels above 1.32

EUR/USD

The single currency didn’t manage to recover yesterday. EURUSD was below 1.32 almost all day long yesterday, though the major rivals of the single currency felt much better. Besides, S&P 500 crossed the level of 2000, which was a significant moment for the markets. The index didn’t move far from this level and went on the defensive right after hitting the level. As we mentioned yesterday, the initial weakness of the euro was maintained by the divergence between the US and EU monetary policies, once again emphasized by the comments of the Fed’s and ECB’s governors in Jackson Hole. But further more…