They bought back Dollar on weak Payrolls



During last week, trading was focused around expectations of labor market news from the USA. The officials can change earlier access to some information, so they were waiting for the strong employment data. Hesitations about it appeared along with the release of the US PMI. The index dropped below 50, reflecting lack of activity in August. Car sales as well could not bring some joy, so dollar was under pressure and EURUSD returned to the area 1.1200. For the previous four days the pair crept down to 1.1100, but could not to break it lower. Weekly unemployment claims as well supported more…

Either Yellen or oil will reverse the market

Janet Yellen


This week EURUSD was one step away from the important resistance area – 1.14. Bulls were feeling lack of informational reason to push the pair against that level – no important news were released on Friday both from the USA and Eurozone. Even not taking this physiological level, the Dollar’s retreat looks more like capitulation. Market participants are more and more confident about the feeling that Fed reserve will not tighten the policy this year, especially in September. Meanwhile Fed officials, conversely, say more often that they should not exclude such event. Minutes of July FOMC meeting eventually caused the wave more…

Dominance of downtrends



Friday payrolls from the USA appeared strong. It is important to mention that not only employment increased but either wages growth accelerated. Thus, all together those indicators shifted expectations what gave the powerful impulse to buying USD against most currencies. For EURUSD this strong data resulted in a big drop of 110 points and in a support level a bit higher 1.10. At the beginning of the new week the pair was traded around this level, reflecting the traders’ search for new impulses. Trade has been consolidating around 1.10 since the end of June. As well the pair is traded currently more…

Bearish oil market and USD trend formation

Oil & Dollars


The previous week became quite productive for the pair. On Wednesday, after FOMC comments, the American dollar got under pressure. Despite of the fact that the committee mentioned improvements in the economy and risks decline in the nearest perspective, the comment did not include anything about rate increase next time, as it was done last October before they raised the rate in December. They just made a standard comment about readiness to make it on any of the next meetings. But definitely this is not the sign for the tightening in the nearest future. Either the members of Federal Reserve have more…

The United States are losing market focus

USA White House


After Brexit the key currency pair of Forex market is moving in a relatively tight flat channel 1.10 – 1.1160. The pair was stuck to the lower boundary of this corridor at the end of the last week. All these movements appear around 200 MA, showing to the full extent fundamental market trample without a trend. On Friday we received quite strong retail sales and CPI from the USA. However, traders are not in hurry to bet on dollar, assuming that Federal Reserve prefers to monitor the stability of the strong data before it continues policy normalization. In one way more…