Ready for vigorous movements?

EUR/USD

Stock markets continue their upsurge. For advocates of technical analysis it should be important that EURUSD closed the week above 1.3500 and even went beyond the starting level of Wednesday’s correction. At the same time stock markets managed to close near the psychological levels of 16000 and 1800 in Dow and S&P 500 accordingly. It happened due to the favourable US statistics combined with rather dovish claims of the Fed’s high officials. Yet, as you remember, the euro ran a correction on the comments about possible introduction of the negative deposit facility rate by the ECB and the Fed’s minutes, according more…

The markets quickly recovered from the meeting minutes

EUR/USD

The single currency couldn’t stay below 1.3400 for long. Bulls came to their senses and under the cover of the favourable EU statistics were purchasing the euro. The poor rate of France’s Manufacturing PMI (47.8 against the expected 49.6) was pushed into the background by Germany’s manufacturing stats, which proved to be better than forecasted (52.5 against the expected 52.3). The services sectors of these countries also performed below and beyond expectations accordingly. The flash index for the entire eurozone hit the level of 51.5 in November, which  is slightly better than the October rate of 51.3 and slightly worse than more…

The ECB and Fed are getting farther from each other

EUR/USD

The CBs of the world’s biggest economies keep moving in the opposite directions. The main currency pair received a double blow yesterday. It was somewhat unexpected as occurred neither on the publication of the Fed’s meeting minutes nor the release of statistics. Advocates of the technical analysis could triumph yesterday. For 10 trading sessions the single currency had been moving inside the narrow ascending channel and, as a result, had driven the pair in the overbuy zone, so when a correction broke the support of the uptrend (1.3510), it intensified the decline. Eventually, the movement carried the pair away to 1.3413 more…

Forex disregards Yellen’s softness

EUR/USD

EURUSD remains in the uptrend. But yesterday it seemed that we turned on a serious resistance at 1.35. Thus, on the one hand, we’ve got a series of ascending intraday lows, but on the other hand bears are putting up strong resistance at 1.35.  By the end of the week the market has stuck somewhere in between 1.3418 and 1.3490, which were hit during the European and US sessions (now it is 1.3450). It’s remarkable that for all that stock exchanges don’t feel any confusion. For them the situation is pretty clear. The next chairman of the Fed, Janet Yellen, is more…

EUR bears should be more eager

EUR/USD

Despite the blow Draghi delivered to the single currency last week  and also the pressure put by the employment statistics, the single currency is still strong enough to make its way up. The charts show a series of ascending intraday lows: 1.3293, 1.3317, 1.3358. In the short term these data can be enough to be bullish, but regarding a longer term it is quite dangerous to purchase the single currency at the current levels. Trading is now held at 1.3430 and it is the highest rate which EURUSD corrected to after the rate cut announcement. It is quite likely that the more…