USD stepped more back

US Dollar

EURUSD

The pair renewed yesterday’s daily peaks, persuading traders more and more in its intentions to continue its uptrend after drop on April,13. We should understand that bulls are “walking on the thin ice” since this week ahead we have ECB meeting and following press-conference of the Chairman Mario Draghi. Six weeks ago, his comments made during such conference crossed out the whole effect of more than expected interest rate decrease. We suppose this time he tries to present himself not being at the edge of monetary policy possibilities. Moreover, IMF summit held last weekend has reflected less criticizing approach towards ECB more…

Birth of oil trend changing

Oil

EURUSD

The pair is showing that short-term bottom was formed in the end of last week. At the moment it reaches 1.13 without any significant news and comments. More confidently we can comment the short-term turn after hitting resistance level at 1.1320 (38.2% rebound from April peaks), then the nearest target may become 1.1350 level, and later on – 1.14 and 1.1450. In the news today we are waiting for release of Housing market index from NAHB, though we are not expecting it can move market seriously. Tomorrow’s Germany and Eurozone ZEW Economic sentiment have much more chances to move the market. more…

Market is making a pause before G20 and OPEC – non-OPEC

G20

EURUSD

The pair, probably, laid to the floor. Yesterday EURUSD stabilized around 1.1260 level, and it continues to trade there today. Hesitations of market participants can be explained: they do not have ideas for the further trend development or drastic break of growth to the decline side. Meanwhile, nobody wants to run into the future since the weekend will bring too many official multinational meetings. IMF will report in Washington its vision of world economy (Analytical chapters of the report were published a week ago). As well we can wait for the cooperative announcements from G20 that will meet during Summit. Moreover, more…

FOMC stops suppressing Dollar

FOMC

EURUSD

Last hour common currency managed to break the trading channel where it was traded the whole April. EURUSD dropped below 1.1320 that was not reached since March, 31. The turn started yesterday when bulls could not continue growth and stayed above 1.1450. Probably, we witness the turn of the pair but it is quite early to talk about it confidently now, we have to wait for confirmation of closing trades below 1.1320. Dollar was supported by hawkish speeches of Williams and Lacker. Williams said that it would be normal to increase the rate 2-3 time during this year. Meanwhile Lacker stressed more…

Sterling has punished bears

GB Pound

EURUSD

As a whole staying in the trading range the pair is trying to form the growth attempt the third day in a row. Recently it bounced to 1.1460 but very soon returned back to usual levels – around 1.1420. This movement was just a small shade of the USD weakening against other currencies during recent trading sessions. Growth of EUR against USD caused partly by low statistics from the USA that pressure American markets and supported to some extent by USDJPY dropping. However, such theory opposed by quite optimistic attitude of the primary markets and confident behavior of most currencies. This more…