Analysts against traders

EUR/USD

More often it’s quite the opposite, but yesterday analysts gained the upper hand over traders. A couple of minutes before the release of the EU inflation statistics, the pair came under severe pressure. It tumbled down by 15 pips to 1.3745. Then it was reported about sharper inflation slowdown than expected and the euro/dollar dropped already to 1.3720. However, the impulsive reaction of traders (or were these robo traders, working on news?) to the weaker-than-expected data held just for a moment. Further the single currency got some support on the analysts’ comments that the slowdown from 0.7% y/y to 0.5% y/y more…

USD wins back important technical levels

EUR/USD

The bulls found enough strength to repel another attack against the euro on Friday. It would have been too impudent of them to put the euro/ dollar down to another local high for the third day in a row, depriving it of over two figures. It didn’t happen though and the situation was developing under the basic scenario, that we had described earlier on Friday. EURUSD was gradually rising to 1.3800 and even got above that level for a while. Anyway, the week was closed below that level, the general downtrend still holds. The geopolitical tension around the Ukraine is still more…

Markets are waiting for Yellen

EUR/USD

The market showed a strange reaction to Putin’s speech yesterday. Market participants took positively that Russia didn’t lay claims on the rest of pro-Russian territories of the Ukraine and other post-Socialist countries. Stock markets unanimously set out in the upward direction, whereas the reaction of currencies was contradictory. The initial growth of the euro to 1.3940 (due to risk demand) was followed by a pullback and new intraday lows at 1.3880. If we exclude nervousness caused by the news, the pair has been staying at the same level since the beginning of the week. The focus of attention is expectedly shifting more…

Markets grew quiet in anticipation of the political resolutions

EUR/USD

The emerging markets feel pressure in connection with risk aversion, while futures and indices of the developing countries as well as the currency market remain relatively quiet. The thing is that the main political fight is still ahead. The overwhelming majority of the Crimean people, as expected, voted for annexing to Russia. America and the new authorities in Kiev, as expected, don’t recognize the referendum and speak about intrusion of the Russian troops into the Ukraine. The West is threatening with sanctions, though the observers,  including the foreign ones, note that the referendum was carried out quietly. The risks are very more…

USD may get its way

EUR/USD

EURUSD was carrying itself well for the most part of the day and only during the US session it began to pull back. As was mentioned yesterday, the euro and the dollar are seen by investors as equally safe before the threat of Russian intervention into the Ukraine. Although in long term the euro is negatively affected by the crisis in the East, in short term the pair is primarily influenced by the economic statistics of Europe  and the USA. Yesterday Final Manufacturing PMI for the eurozone was released. Its rate proved to be a bit higher than the preliminary one, more…