EUR and GBP are going against USD

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Taking into consideration the fluctuations of the recent months , this week’s movements look as fluctuations near the uptrend support. Breaking through this line (supposedly 1.3510 by the end of the week) will allow speaking about a serious bullish sentiment in regard to the dollar. Now bulls prefer attacking on the flanks, putting pressure on the currencies of the export-oriented economies like Australia, Canada, Russia. But, in our opinion, it is a temporary situation and soon the EU currencies will come under a stronger pressure. To be more exact, the dollar will commence growing. The risks concerning the euro lie with more…

Forex still can’t venture to attack important levels

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s hopes for a quick attack of dollar bulls failed. Though we were right in our forecasts regarding ZEW, the single currency didn’t manage to break through 1.3500 and during the Asian session today the pair grew to 1.3580, thus exceeding the daily high of Tuesday. As you remember, yesterday we supposed that Germany’s business sentiment would weaken, against the general expectations of growth. The actual data showed decline from 62 to 61.7 instead of growth to 64.0. Strictly speaking, the figures are not bad, at least they are not too poor so that the euro ram 1.3500. So, this event more…

Outlook for 2014: Part Two

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The Asian stock markets showed some growth after the holidays, taking their lead from the US pre-Christmas positive mood. Yet, the yen is still under pressure. It hit a fresh five-year high against the dollar – at 104.82. AUDUSD also opened with a gap down. Probably, it is somehow interconnected as AUDJPY hasn’t demonstrated any changes – the cross opened at 93.06, where it had been before closing. So, no significant shifts. And it is quite reasonable as during the holiday time there wasn’t any important events. During the pre-Christmas trading session the dollar was in demand most of the time, more…

The strong payrolls didn’t help USD grow against EUR

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

And again the euro is growing despite the news. The preceding eventful week ended with the US employment stats. The November report met the market’s high expectations and even surpassed them somewhere, but failed to produce any continuous effect on the euro, which eventually grew against USD. Now the euro/dollar is above 1.3700, which is the highest level since the end of October and within the reach of a long-term resistance (1.3750). This resistance is rather conventional, so we can hardly expect a burst of activity, should it be broken. The previous highs (1.3785, 1.3815, 1.3830) are of more importance now. more…

When sentiments are more important than the real economy

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The euro kept appreciating even during the holiday trading session for Americans. The single currency remains in demand due to expectations of favourable EU statistics. A month before the sudden decline in inflation gave rise to hopes for the possible rate cut by the ECB and other incentives. As a result, the benchmark interest rate was reduced, which dealt a blow to the single currency. By now the euro has overcome the consequences of the heavy selling aroused by the rate cut and by the claims of the ECB officials that the council was considering negative rates as further incentives. Anyway, more…