EUR is crushed by the ECB

EUR/USD

The heaven tumbled down for the single currency yesterday. The sudden decline of the core interest rate and other accompanying rates by 10bp forced EURUSD to fall down from the daily open of 1.3150 to 1.2940 by the end of the day. The pair was last seen that low more than a year ago. Then, in 2013, it found support near 1.2750, which leaves much space for maneuver regarding further decline. Though on the other hand EURUSD is so oversold that to stimulate depreciation today the US employment statistics should be unbelievably good. It is expected that the US employment will more…

USD launches a flank attack

EUR/USD

The single currency hit a fresh local low, falling down to 1.3108, but bears were not strong enough to test 1.31. We should say that despite the expected beginning of the ECB’s QE on Thursday, the single currency is depreciating against the dollar much less than its rivals like the pound, yen and the Aussie (read below). Today the main risk for the pair is posed by the Final Services PMI. If this index has been considerably revised in comparison with the preliminary data, it may affect the course of trading. Unfortunately for the euro, now there are plenty of downward more…

USD’s rally to pause at the end of the month

EUR/USD

The US stock market feels more and more confident at a new level. S&P 500 has exceeded 2000 and the global asset market reached the capitalization of 66trln, as calculated by Bloomberg. Before the global financial crisis appreciation of the stock markets often turned out to be USD’s decline and strengthening of the currencies in the developing countries, which also affected EUR and the pound. Though the pound in theory can follow this very tendency against growing chances of the rate increase earlier than in the USA (see below), the euro’s recent weakness has been quite reasonable. And don’t say that more…

EUR is kept off the levels above 1.32

EUR/USD

The single currency didn’t manage to recover yesterday. EURUSD was below 1.32 almost all day long yesterday, though the major rivals of the single currency felt much better. Besides, S&P 500 crossed the level of 2000, which was a significant moment for the markets. The index didn’t move far from this level and went on the defensive right after hitting the level. As we mentioned yesterday, the initial weakness of the euro was maintained by the divergence between the US and EU monetary policies, once again emphasized by the comments of the Fed’s and ECB’s governors in Jackson Hole. But further more…

USD’s across-the-board rally

EUR/USD

The single currency keeps falling against the dollar. The governors of the world’s global CBs in their speeches only emphasized the divergence between the US and EU policies, whereas Madame Yellen was less mild about the monetary policy prospects mainly due to the rather favourable employment statistics in the recent months. Of course, here we should take into account that the strongest data were on the employment/unemployment rate, while the earnings growth and participation rate were obviously far from perfect. But this way or another the EU affairs are much worse. If the US unemployment shrank by 3.8%, the EU one more…