Resistance to USD growth

EUR/USD

Yesterday the US assets were again in demand. While stock exchanges were recouping the losses incurred at the end of the previous week, the US dollar was trying to partially offset the earlier losses. EURUSD fell down to 1.3790 yesterday, but soon it found buyers, who brought it back above 1.3800. Those market forces once again disabled taking control over the dollar despite the strong inflation data. CPI grew to 1.5% y/y against the supposed 1.4% and 1.1% a month ago. It is also remarkable that the core indicator, that with food and energy excluded, also returned to 1.7%, which was more…

Bears keep putting pressure

EUR/USD

Wall Street didn’t manage to recover fully after Thursday’s sellout. During the US session selling was still heavy as investors couldn’t find any support in the fresh corporate reports. The disappointment with the indicators of technology companies spread to other sectors as well. Actually, the reports fall short of the investors’ high expectations, which picture them strong enough to justify the overrated stocks and fight the negative consequences of the Fed’s policy toughening. Already now the bonds are increasing their yields, which makes them a bit more attractive, depriving the stock market of the growth potential. The single currency seems to more…

USD wins back important technical levels

EUR/USD

The bulls found enough strength to repel another attack against the euro on Friday. It would have been too impudent of them to put the euro/ dollar down to another local high for the third day in a row, depriving it of over two figures. It didn’t happen though and the situation was developing under the basic scenario, that we had described earlier on Friday. EURUSD was gradually rising to 1.3800 and even got above that level for a while. Anyway, the week was closed below that level, the general downtrend still holds. The geopolitical tension around the Ukraine is still more…

Steel nerves of US investors

EUR/USD

The pressure didn’t weigh on the markets for long. There is a strong feeling that there is little that can distract investors from buying the US stocks: neither overbought markets, nor geopolitical troubles in Europe, nor bringing of the Fed’s rate increase closer by half a year. The decline of the US stock indices caused by Yellen’s comments on Wednesday was bought out yesterday and by now we’ve returned to the same positions as last week and are generally in the area of record highs. Anyway, we can’t say the same about the euro/dollar. Yesterday purchasing of dollars against the EU more…

FOMC is braver than expected

EUR/USD

The Fed’s commentary provoked strengthening of the US dollar. Purchasing was caused mostly by the increased intention to raise the rate next year. It is not stated in the published forecasts, but observers have figured out that these forecasts speak about a possibility of the rate increase approximately in the middle of the next year. If actual and forecasted data differ significantly, the QE3 programme may be brought to a close already this year. Yesterday’s cut, as expected, made 10bln dollars. Besides, FOMC chose not to peg interest rates to the unemployment rate, but consider a wider range of indicators. Apparently more…