Yellen stopped growth in EUR, but not in the markets

EUR/USD

The single currency didn’t venture to attack 1.37 on Tuesday. Growth was impeded by the market’s anticipation of further tapering by the Fed. It’s noteworthy that Yellen’s claims were quite reserved and generally in line with the traditions of the obscure rhetoric acquired by the Fed’s presidents.  She remarked that should the recovery go on at a forecasted rate, the QE will be curtailed with the current pace (by 10bln monthly). In the meantime, stock traders took her comments optimistically, getting themselves into eager selling. Since the beginning of February the market has recouped three fourths of the losses incurred at more…

Outlook for 2014: Part Two

EUR/USD

The Asian stock markets showed some growth after the holidays, taking their lead from the US pre-Christmas positive mood. Yet, the yen is still under pressure. It hit a fresh five-year high against the dollar – at 104.82. AUDUSD also opened with a gap down. Probably, it is somehow interconnected as AUDJPY hasn’t demonstrated any changes – the cross opened at 93.06, where it had been before closing. So, no significant shifts. And it is quite reasonable as during the holiday time there wasn’t any important events. During the pre-Christmas trading session the dollar was in demand most of the time, more…

Forex is getting quiet after strong fluctuations

EUR/USD

Quite naturally the single currency was suffering losses in the second half of the previous week. It was a result of the Fed’s decision to cut the monthly purchases by $10bln to 75bln. Eventually, EURUSD fell from 1.3810 to 1.3620. It seems that at that level players were purchasing the single currency within the bounds of a short-term profit taking. The previous week was the last full week of the year. This week the market liquidity will be limited before the holidays and right after them in the expectation of New Year’s Day. The end of the last week, when the more…

Forex disregards Yellen’s softness

EUR/USD

EURUSD remains in the uptrend. But yesterday it seemed that we turned on a serious resistance at 1.35. Thus, on the one hand, we’ve got a series of ascending intraday lows, but on the other hand bears are putting up strong resistance at 1.35.  By the end of the week the market has stuck somewhere in between 1.3418 and 1.3490, which were hit during the European and US sessions (now it is 1.3450). It’s remarkable that for all that stock exchanges don’t feel any confusion. For them the situation is pretty clear. The next chairman of the Fed, Janet Yellen, is more…

The broken attack on USD

EUR/USD

The US employment statistics proved to be favouable, though all the short-term growth potential of EURUSD had been “eaten away” by the market movement a day before. As a result, the dollar bulls failed to bring the pair below the lows of the previous day, yet the decline from 1.3435 to 1.3312 can hardly be called unimpressive. So, what was good about the employment statistics? First of all, the number of new jobs in October exceeded 200K (204), moreover the rates of the preceding two months were also revised up. Thus, the average rate for the last three months is also more…