The narrow channels of Forex

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s attempt of the euro to come off  the four-month lows proved to be futile. The euro/dollar has been plying between 1.3585 and 1.36550 for over a week. The certain dissatisfaction with the US statistics, due to the poor employment data from ADP, could strengthen the single currency only for a while yesterday, taking it to the upper bound of the range. As reported by that company, the US private firms in May increased the number of jobs by 179K instead of the expected 217. The rates for the preceding two months were also revised down. The foreign trade data also more…

EUR is trying to grow against the news

EUR/USD

Yesterday we again saw how the market was ‘selling’ facts. The so-much-awaited report on consumer prices in the eurozone showed slowdown. The annual inflation is again at the lows of March (0.5%). Those, in their turn, are the lowest in five years. Before the release of the data the euro/dollar had  been pushed down and the pair again had hit the local lows at 1.3585. However, the released statistics stirred short covering. It was supported afterwards. As a result, the euro grew to 1.3646. Since no input data have changed and the ECB is still expected to ease the policy, yesterday’s more…

Don’t say that we haven’t warned

EUR/USD

Despite the fact that the currency’s depreciation after the drop below its 200-day MA doesn’t look swift and impressive, the downward movement still exists. Now the single currency can hardly find any support in the news. At least, in the news of the eurozone. Wednesday’s data on the German employment proved to be very poor. Instead of the expected decrease in the number of the unemployed by 14K in May, we saw its growth by 24K. For all that, the unemployment level remained unchanged – 6.7% – the lowest one since the Germany’s reunification. Yes, now there is no doubt about more…

EUR moved away from the extremums

EUR/USD

In the absence of important news players tried to take profits from the preceding growth in the pair. Because of that the pair moved away from the extremums and hit 1.3900 this morning. Today the markets will be focused on Draghi’s speech at the press-conference after the rate decision. It’s quite possible that we will hear again about readiness to act and that the continuous low inflation will be pernicious for the economic growth. Not only the market participants, but also journalists of every stripe and colour have been long in the know about this chapter of economic theory and as more…

Roller Coaster

EUR/USD

The single currency was put under heavy pressure after the release of Germany’s inflation data. EURUSD dipped down to 1.3800, formally leaving the gap uncovered: the high was hit at 1.3878. As expected, Germany’s consumer inflation proved to be lower than forecasted by the experts at the beginning of the week. The annual rate of price growth in the largest German economy made 1.3% against the expected 1.4%. This acceleration against last month’s 1.0% y/y was provoked purely by the low base effect as in April the prices tumbled by 0.2%. The ECB members often say that the long period of more…