Pernicious for USD, favourable for EUR

EUR/USD

The US market was trying to form a rebound off the weekly open almost all through the day yesterday, but these attempts were ruined by the bears’ finale. As a result, the stock exchanges again fell sharply, developing last week’s decline. This behaviour of the stock market has a beneficial impact on EURUSD. During bears’ attacks the euro is growing against the dollar. Yesterday afternoon the pair went as high as 1.2757, thus growing by a figure and a half over the day. The fluctuations of the recent week vividly show how much the market volatility has increased. Traders are trying more…

USD eases pressure

EUR/USD

Last week ended with a slight appreciation of the dollar. But this growth wasn’t enough to make up the losses, suffered earlier that week because of absence of a sound reason. This week players seem to be willing to continue locking in profits in the US assets. The dollar and stock indices are falling simultaneously. It is remarkable that S&P 500 has gone below the local low of August and is at risk of getting to the highs of early March – mid May. These levels (near 1870) can become quite a good support just the same way they served as more…

EURUSD is at its 14-month lows

EUR/USD

Having broken through 1.2840, EURUSD quickly fell down to 1.2770. The main reason for this movement is triggering of limit orders on reaching new local lows. As a result, the pair is now trading very closely to the lows of the previous year (1.2744). The next accumulation of stops can be near 1.2650. The further target of decline may be set at 1.20, which had been hit in 2012 in the heat of the EU sovereign debt crisis before Draghi made his famous ‘whatever it takes’ speech. Then the low rate was explained by the fears of the EU disintegration with more…

The silence of G20 enables JPY to depreciate

EUR/USD

Last weekend there was held a meeting of G20 central bank governors and finance ministers. The representatives of the largest countries, constituting about 85% of the global economy, focused on stimulation of economic growth. Nothing was said about currency movements. Thus, the current rally of the dollar received a tacit approval, so the bulls may gain the lead, at least for a while. Now USDX is trading near its two-year highs. Then growth of the dollar was explained by weakness of the single currency. And now it is USD’s rally, aroused by expectations of the monetary policy tightening and of impressive more…

Scotland supported Britain and helped the markets

EUR/USD

All day long yesterday the single currency was taking painful attempts to recover after the mess made by FOMC’s intention to introduce a tougher monetary policy than expected. It also must have been to the advantage of the single currency that the demand at the TLTRO auction , which the ECG conducted for the first time, proved to be lower than forecasted. The analysts, surveyed by Bloomberg, expected bids for approximately €175bln, while the actual demand proved to be twice as low, making 82.6bln. It means that banks don’t hurry to make 4-year loans at quite a low interest rate of more…