Sentiments causing a pullback

EUR/USD

The market’s unwillingness (or inability) to continue purchases of USD is so strong that it contradicts the current macroeconomic background and forces market participants to look for any chance to lock in the profits. Thus, yesterday’s revised statistics on GDP in the third quarter proved to be surprisingly strong. The annualized growth made 3.9% against the preceding rate of 3.5% and the expected downward revision to 3.3%. The growth rate against 3Q of the previous year totaled 2.4%, which speaks about quite an impressive economic growth. Also, it should be noted that the Personal Consumption Index also rose by 2.2%. Earlier more…

Asia is on the defensive

EUR/USD

The single currency continued its trip up on Monday. As a result, it reached a high of 1.2440. Ifo Business Climate proved to be better than expected and grew for the first time since April, while had been expected to fall. The index grew from 103.2 to 104.7 against the expected 103.0. Both the components of the index rose – Current Assessment and Expectations. Under such conditions growth of the single currency could be stronger, but it didn’t happen because of the pressure the euro suffers from the expectations of a more active extension of the ECB’s balance for the sake more…

Despite the strong statistics USD suffers pressure

EUR/USD

The single currency is still being purchased. Besides, since yesterday EURCHF has grown by about 15 pips, which is not much, but is a weekly high. Thus, the SNB can be behind this support for the single currency. But if it is the work of the Swiss, the Bank will soon start selling the euro and buying other currencies for diversification of the reserve portfolio not to stake solely on the depreciating euro with the negative interest rates. Now EURUSD is trading at 1.2560 – it is close to the weekly highs. But also it should be noted that the support more…

Good news from Germany helps EUR and stocks

EUR/USD

Thanks to the strong statistics from Germany, the single currency managed to continue forming a short-term uptrend. The German ZEW index has risen to 11.5 in November, which is the first increase of the index since December 2013 and is much above the forecast rate of just 0.9. It is of interest that the Current Situation Index also has grown (often it moves in the opposite direction from the general index). Yet, the growth was very little, just 0.3 points up to 3.5. The ZEW Economic Sentiment for the entire eurozone also proved to be better than expected. In November it more…

EURCHF is close to the line

EUR/USD

The disappointing rates of the Japanese growth would keep putting pressure on the global stock indices but for Draghi’s speech yesterday which brought some relief to the market. The  ECB’s governor again pointed at the readiness to provide more incentives, including bond purchases in case inflation goes below the forecast inflation. These comments boosted demand for stocks of the EU periphery and for stocks around the world as well. Tapering in the US didn’t put an end to the epoch of easy money. Now it is coming from Japan and the eurozone. Moreover, members both of the European and Asian CBs more…