Fundamental strength of USD

EUR/USD

The US dollar keeps recouping its losses. It is remarkable that it is growing not only against the euro, but across the whole board. We can even say that the single currency looked steadier than many others yesterday. Thus, EURUSD hit 1.3400 this morning. And this is the lowest levels since last November. Actually, we can already speak about the beginning of a rally in USD. And behind it there are perfect macroeconomic statistics. Yet, it is still disputable if the Fed’s policy will lag behind these data. In addition to the news which feeds USD’s strength, yesterday there was a more…

The cable is pushed down below 1.7

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s EU PMIs stirred pleasant surprise in the markets. Almost all preliminary indexes ( for Germany, France, the eurozone) proved to be in the green area, surpassing all the expectations and preceding values. The Composite PMI for the eurozone in general grew to 54, which is beyond the expected and previous 52.8. These data put considerable influence on the course of trading and changed attitude to the single currency. The pair managed to recover from the unreasonable selling before the beginning of active trading in Europe. Then bears pushed EURUSD down to 1.3437. On the tide of positive EU statistics the more…

USD bulls in search for stops

EUR/USD

The single currency is helplessly crawling along the bottom of this week’s range. Yet it is remarkable that the attempts to send the pair down don’t stir due interest among buyers. This morning, for example, for no particular reason and even before the release of PMI stats EURUSD was pushed down to 1.3437, that is 20 pips below the daily open. Supposing that technically the pair will target at the support level near the preceding local low, we can expect a reversal only near 1.3290. It means that bears have a figure and a half in store. However, we can hardly more…

EUR is down against USD and GBP

EUR/USD

Yesterday bears intensified their pressure on EURUSD, pushing the pair down to the lowest levels since last November. Now trading is held close to 1.3460. Bulls simply didn’t have enough strength to buy out EURUSD at 1.3520, so the strong selling impulse sent the pair down and now the latter doesn’t hurry to rise from there. Softness of the ECB’s monetary policy (the recent rate cuts and preparations for TLTRO) combined with the cyclic slowdown of the economy after quite a decent growth in the first quarter don’t make the single currency the best candidate to grow. Besides, yesterday the USA more…

GBP is the only one to resist USD

EUR/USD

The comments, preceding yesterday’s speech of Yellen, often contained hints at the possible beginning of an uptrend in USD. Actually, Yellen’s speech was of the same mood as the previous comments, that is rather dovish and cautious. Anyway, market participants got what they wanted – the dollar started its ascent. Addressing the Congress yesterday, Yellen drew attention to the persisting high rate of unemployment and the need for the stimulating monetary policy. In our opinion, these words clearly unveil the fear to allow sharp and quick toughening of the monetary policy and repeat the mistake, made by the Fed in the more…