Will Yellen become a “hawk”?

Janet Yellen

EURUSD

Household spending from the USA woke up market participants. Spending of Americans grew in February by 0.1% that is two times less than expected rise and is reflecting January declining tendency. Prices as well could not beat the expectations. Core PCE, the preferable inflation measure of Fed, has added 0.1% monthly after January increase by 0.3%. Though, forecasted increase was 0.2%. Annual growth rate remained the same – 1.7% y.o.y. while the forecasted growth was up to 1.8%. Personal earning continued to increase adding in February 0.2% after raise by 0.5% a month ago and by 0.3% during 3 months in more…

Dollar returns its levels

EURUSD

The pair continues its slow upward movement. Market analysts emphasize that Federal Reserve officials insist on two rate increases against “less than one” during this year that is factored into interest rate futures quotes now. Though, remarkably steady downtrend of the pair after peaks on March 17 is visible from the first sight to the chart. Non-exchange character of Forex doesn’t allow us to assess the volumes that came through this decline. But we assume they were quite significant.
Federal Reserve actually did not change its course, while ECB widen its QE program and decreased the rates. That means they created good more…

GBP suffers again from Brexit

EURUSD

Yesterday the pair got the blow as a result of the terrorist attack and obviously low economic indices. In spite of the fact that Ifo indicator was better than expected and reached 106.7 level, its movement looks more like rebound from the last month lows rather than real trend turn. Meanwhile, German Manufacturing PMI decreased from 50.5 to 50.4 and could not reach the forecasted of 50.9. The same French index has fallen below 50 for the first time since last August, appearing now at 49.6 though predicted level was 50.2. Economic sentiment as well could not show investors delight more…

Euro declines without news

EURUSD

As before Federal Reserve’s announcement about interest rate, pair EURUSD slowly declines without news releases. The reason is the demand growth for risky assets that encourages borrowings in EUR which stands as a funding currency. Though, it’s important to realize that scope of Euro weakening is less than the two previous escalation impulses caused by ECB and FRS. To boost selling of common currency market participants, probably, willing to have more heavy reasons that will create bearish approach for euro. This is blocked by the confidence of the market that interest rate will reach the lowest boarder received as hints from more…