A creeping dollar

Bull-NYC

EURUSD

The pair is slowly sliding down, recovering the previous growth and formatting the expectations for the further more serious turn. The possibility of such scenario will rise when (and if) EURUSD breaks the support line of the climbing channel that appeared at the beginning of March. Currently, there is a threat that pair will drop below 1.1300, 50 points lower from the current prices. However, it is difficult to find among macroeconomic news the only one, which is strong enough to move market from the current trend. Strong data from the non-production USA sectors in March influences market less than usual more…

Aussie upstream flow was not long

Оссси

EURUSD

The pair is stuck in the range of 1.1350-1.1400. On one hand, it is under pressure of common feeling for the USD growth, but at the same time, the pair is supported by assets escape, especially visible in Asia. We still forecast more negative risks for the pair. During the last growth impulse last week of March EURUSD reached the highs of the middle of October and it can be currently under short-term pressure. But we cannot exclude either the longer decline wave since the pair has hit the long-standing and relatively strong resistance area. Apart from the strong American data more…

The dollar could not grow on payrolls

Payrolls

EURUSD

Employment indicators from the USA managed to help the American currency in the short term. After quite unusual growth of the pair by 70 points before the release, EURUSD affected by the good statistics from the USA has dropped by 10 points at 1.1330, but it finished the week at 1.1390 showing increase by more than 2 figures. Probably, investors lean towards selling other assets versus USD rather than EUR. Though, Friday reaction could be just reflection of market model that was dominated in the first quarter, meanwhile other assets could have the profits fixation from the expectations of the USD more…

EUR and GBP are moving in different directions

Gold

EURUSD

The pair touched yesterday 1.14, and some traders decided to fix their profits. However, today bulls again are trying to climb higher than that level. Such activity of the market players is rather unusual. More often before the USA employment data are released markets behave very quiet focusing on the upcoming news and lately blowing the chosen trend with the total strength. Nevertheless, last months have shown that employment data from the USA losing its big influence, not affecting huge bouncing on stock and Forex markets. The reasons of this are not in the underestimation of the data but in the more…

Bad quarter for the Dollar

USD

EURUSD

The pair EURUSD went up to 1.1380 that was caused by several factors. The market came through quite good employment data from ADP and again started to sell USD after Evans’ comments. Actually his speech was an echo of his boss Yellen’s announcements that we heard the day before: declining risks for the US economy, high market volatility, necessity in gradual rate increasing. Though, the common currency is supported as well by the strong EU inflation indicators. Yesterday Germany estimated price growth in March by 0.8%. This is much higher than expected 0.6%. As a result annual pace returned to more…