USA: good, but could be better

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The upward revision of Manufacturing PMI in the European countries, which happened on Monday, raised the expectations connected with the services sector. For this reason, the disappointment with the downward revision for Germany and the euro zone in general was particularly strong. The Spanish and Italian Services PMIs (there were no preliminary data for these countries) didn’t surprise either. The Italian indicator (45.8 in June) has been declining for two months in a row, pointing at a speedier recession in the sector, and the recession itself (figures < 50) has been lasting already for two years. In Spain the situation is more…

Close to free fall

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

USD is still on the offensive, with the active phases of its growth falling on the EU and US sessions. On Friday evening the euro was falling under its own weight, triggering a wave of stop-orders. As a result, on Friday instead of the traditional consolidation we saw the biggest drop over the week. This week started with a downward gap below 1.31.  If technical analysis is true, the descent will continue with the next probable stop at 1.3000/10. However, bears shouldn’t hurry with staking for decline as close to 1.3070 there is the 200-day MA, which can turn out to more…

Forex is consolidating before important events

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

USD failed to carry out a full-fledged correction at the end of the last week. EURUSD was fluctuating within the narrowing triangle.  An upward touch occurred at 1.3292 last Friday. At the beginning of the Asian session the pair rose to 1.3356 for a while, but then again retraced to the centre of the range. The main event of the week is the Fed’s monetary policy decision, scheduled for Wednesday evening. It’s quite possible that while there are no drivers Forex will continue consolidating at the achieved levels. Before the Fed’s decision the market can be spurred only by the ZEW more…

The market is going for safety instead of USD

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The dissonance between the stock and Forex markets still persists. While the single currency hit a new high since late February, trading already at 1.3350, S&P 500 dropped to the levels of early May. The index futures has been declining for the last three days, thus showing that traders have reappraised the state of the US economy. Over the last couple of weeks there were enough indicators which made investors take off the rose-coloured spectacles. Naturally, against this background Europe is no longer the worst variant. Yet, the last rally has been too long. The reversal for growth began on May more…

EUR broke through 1.33

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday we once again observed dissonance among the markets. The dollar and stock exchanges were falling at the same time. Each move can be explained, but it’s not very often that you see risk-aversion and purchasing of the European currencies together. The recent dynamics is the reverse of the preceding moves, when against the positive news from the USA the country’s domestic assets were in demand and it was also clear that the Fed was more likely to toughen its policy than the ECB. Last week we got visual evidence that those considerations were a bit exaggerated. The US economy is more…