Steel nerves of US investors

EUR/USD

The pressure didn’t weigh on the markets for long. There is a strong feeling that there is little that can distract investors from buying the US stocks: neither overbought markets, nor geopolitical troubles in Europe, nor bringing of the Fed’s rate increase closer by half a year. The decline of the US stock indices caused by Yellen’s comments on Wednesday was bought out yesterday and by now we’ve returned to the same positions as last week and are generally in the area of record highs. Anyway, we can’t say the same about the euro/dollar. Yesterday purchasing of dollars against the EU more…

EUR flew up on Draghi’s inertness

EUR/USD

Draghi’s press-conference sent the euro much above 1.38. The single currency is now trading at 1.3850. Excluding a short-term upsurge of the pair in December, the pair was that high only in November 2011. Technically, growth of the pair isn’t likely to face any serious resistance right up to 1.4250. The spring triggered and pushed the pair up by over a figure in a couple of hours. It should be mentioned that the upsurge began 45 minutes before the press-conference, which means that the markets presupposed a possibility of the rate cut or measures to increase liquidity in the region. It more…

USD got weaker as markets continued to pull back

EUR/USD

The US employment statistics again fell short of expectations. On Friday it was reported that in January non-farm employment grew by 113K after increasing by 75K a month before. BLS pins some blame on bad weather and in this case the rates may be quite better next month. Yet, a month ago there were similar opinions, which eventually proved to be wrong. The good news is that the traditional revision of statistics added over half a million to the employment rate and the last year’s rate was revised up by 87K in total. The unemployment rate has again declined and now more…

Draghi is beginning to resemble Trichet

EUR/USD

The euro climbed quite high yesterday, after Draghi’s words that the monetary policy doesn’t need any adjustment now. The ECB is still confident in the positive effect of the November rate cut, but adds that it is not very visible yet. We’ve frequently mentioned that the currency markets suffered a period of even higher rates  of the euro short-term loan before the New Year Day. The impact of the decline by quarter of a percent can be noted only with other conditions being equal, which never happens in the market. And the unwillingness to take advantage of inflation slowdown to ease more…

AUD got a chance of consolidation

EUR/USD

The US stock markets are still suffering heavy selling. Bulls are retreating not only because of the expectations of QE reduction from the Fed, but also because of the unimpressive corporate reports. Index futures have an opportunity for a respite only when the US trading session is over. It was yesterday and the same movement we can observe today. The euro/dollar keeps ignoring fluctuations of stock indices, which is not typical of this pair. Yesterday the currency made another attempt to find demand on growth. The attempt proved to be futile, the pair was turned around straight above 1.37 with the more…