Roller Coaster

EUR/USD

The single currency was put under heavy pressure after the release of Germany’s inflation data. EURUSD dipped down to 1.3800, formally leaving the gap uncovered: the high was hit at 1.3878. As expected, Germany’s consumer inflation proved to be lower than forecasted by the experts at the beginning of the week. The annual rate of price growth in the largest German economy made 1.3% against the expected 1.4%. This acceleration against last month’s 1.0% y/y was provoked purely by the low base effect as in April the prices tumbled by 0.2%. The ECB members often say that the long period of more…

EUR &GBP: cautiously awaiting statistics

EUR/USD

Yesterday the single currency went as high as 1.3878. The bears, who had put pressure on the currency earlier in the day, were punished, but the higher movement could already be provoked only by serious reasons. There weren’t any, so trading stabilized at the neutral 1.3850. Market players behave quite cautiously now in anticipation of piles of  important statistics on Europe and the USA. Regarding trends, inflation data will be of utmost importance for the single currency. Tomorrow we expect the Preliminary EU CPI for April, and today we will get inflation statistics on the German Lands, which may also affect more…

Bulls try to heat up EUR

EUR/USD

The single currency was being purchased on Friday as if along a ruler. The euro/dollar was growing strictly within the narrow upward channel. It speaks not only about presence of big buyers, accurately picking up the pair, but also about absence of any idea in the markets. The pair remains in the grip of uncertainty of the ECB’s policy. Despite the inflation slowdown, in Germany as well, most members of the Bank’s governing board treat a rate cut or any other easing of the monetary policy as a certainly pernicious thing with economic growth in the background. Anyway, market participants keep more…

EUR to find strong buyers

EUR/USD

Yesterday ECB President Mario Draghi made a speech devoted to CBs’ communication during the period of crisis. It is very symbolic since the market feels difficulty with discerning the ECB’s signals. We constantly hear about a wide range of tools, which can be applied in case of need. In the meantime, inflation has slowed down to the lowest rates since 2009 and it is on assumption that, as opposed to that time, a year before the inflation rates were not increased. So, deflation forces are obvious. Yet, it is also obvious that the Committee members are at variance about the necessity more…

EUR to be talked down

EUR/USD

The brief disappointment with the poor French statistics and further enthusiasm aroused by the German and EU data made yesterday’s European session quite volatile. After the release of the French data EURUSD tumbled down to 1.38, but then within an hour it grew by half a figure. However, bulls failed to hold even this level. By the end of the day the pair still slipped down towards 1.3815. After 10 days of flat trading the single currency seems to react more nervously to the news, but yet has enough strength to return to its former levels. It is all about absence more…