EUR is heading for the lower depths, but who will have the courage to buy it?

EUR/USD

The ECB calls for politicians to develop a new investment guarantee mechanism at the EU-wide level in order to eliminate an adverse effect, which capital shifts within the region are now producing on some banks. In their turn, the politicians keep emphasizing that the ECB has to take a more active part in bailing out of the troubled countries. While chief officials are shifting responsibility on each other and dictating others what to do, the EU countries keep falling on the domino principle, and the single currency is hitting new lows against the dollar and yen. Yesterday there was an attempt more…

Hope dwindles

EUR/USD

As seen from yesterday’s rates, hopes that Spain would do without help of the EU were gradually melting away throughout the day. The pair neither bounced on bad news nor flew on an avalanche of triggering stop-orders. However, having started the day from 1.25, the euro/dollar closed it at 1.2370. Again it becomes evident that the single currency suffers the heaviest pressure at trading in America, while sessions in Asia and Europe go on by far more quietly. Yet, even then we don’t observe any significant corrections in the pair. The weak Italian auction with a low bid-to-cover ratio of 1.4 more…

American stocks up, EUR down

EUR/USD

The ongoing concerns around Spain impede an upward bounce in the euro. Yesterday EUR/USD hit a 2yr low, breaking through 1.25 and reaching the level of 1.2457 at some point. Portugal and Spain are still suffering the capital outflow. The yield spread between these countries’ 10yr bonds and German Bunds exceeds 1000bp for Portugal and 500bp for Spain. The German stocks cost more than their American counterparts (i.e. their yield is lower). This current state of affairs should hardly be attributed to investors’ confidence in the higher growth in Germany against the USA, but can be rather explained by the fact more…

EUR skips the short-covering rally, for the time being

EUR/USD

The correction bounce of the euro couldn’t last for long on Monday. Already by the end of the day the pair sank to its 2-year lows and closed out the day around 1.2530, where it keeps trading today. Meanwhile the markets are showing a slight increase. However, the current trend has hardly been triggered by growth in risk demand. Apparently, various funds are involved in rebalancing of their portfolios, collecting cheap stocks in accord with their trading strategies. That’s why the current bounce in the markets isn’t very helpful for the euro. The ongoing concerns around Greece and the Spanish banking more…

While Europe is living a nightmare, America … doesn’t care

EUR/USD

Interesting enough, when America’s affairs are in a dreadful state, the whole world prays for mercy, but when the whole world goes to pieces, the States doesn’t seem to care at all. The American S&P hasn’t managed to perform any impressive bounce since the middle of the week, but still keeps edging up steadily. Meanwhile, Asian stocks are posting 5-week lows and the single currency doesn’t have enough strength to recover from the sales yet. For three consecutive days certain stabilization in active European trading has been followed by the euro sales at the end of the American session. Leaving aside more…