VIX lows, GBP highs

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The dollar was getting weaker all through the EU session yesterday. Only at 1.3640 bulls eased their pressure, taking their profits. The same situation was observed in the stock exchanges. Now the euro/dollar is trading at 1.36, thus promising a good week for bulls. They will hardly yield here without trying to attack the 200-day MA. All this depreciation of the dollar leads to decline in the VIX volatility index. Earlier we thought that the very approach of the index to its lows would be more than enough and the market wouldn’t go further, since we expected that volatility would grow more…

EUR is sold while growing

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The euro’s shy attempts to recoup its losses on Friday faced a serious obstacle. While there’s no clear-cut downtrend in the pair, bulls don’t seem to be very strong either. The situation looks as though below its 200-day MA the euro was sold on upward bounces instead of being purchased on the dips as it has been in the previous months. If only bulls were as strong as before, they would, most likely, take advantage of the poor US statistics, released last week. Thus, Thursday’s publication of the retail sales data reported growth by 0.3% in May against the expected 0.5%-0.7%. more…

USD again has MAY in its favour

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Thursday and Friday ensured a short break for the single currency. Despite the traditionally increased demand for dollars at the end of the month, most players preferred to take profits, giving other currencies a chance to recoup themselves. May is customarily a favourable month for the dollar, and this year hasn’t been an exception. In the first days of May the currency dropped from almost 1.400 down to 1.3585 on the speculations around the coming rate cut. The most important thing, in our opinion, was decline below the 200-day MA. Going below this level is able to cause serious strengthening of more…

EU currencies get support from stock growth

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s growth of stock exchanges helped the single currency in thin trading. While the main capital markets (Britain and the USA) were closed, stock index futures were attacking the new highs. Thus, S&P 500 not only managed to set a new record at 1900, but also to close out the day above that level. In the meantime, the technical analysis shows that this indicator is overbought. Strictly speaking, it doesn’t promise an immediate reversal at these levels. So those who play against the market should be more careful. The current position of the index urges to look out for the moment more…

EUR to find strong buyers

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday ECB President Mario Draghi made a speech devoted to CBs’ communication during the period of crisis. It is very symbolic since the market feels difficulty with discerning the ECB’s signals. We constantly hear about a wide range of tools, which can be applied in case of need. In the meantime, inflation has slowed down to the lowest rates since 2009 and it is on assumption that, as opposed to that time, a year before the inflation rates were not increased. So, deflation forces are obvious. Yet, it is also obvious that the Committee members are at variance about the necessity more…