Disbalance through the Fed’s fault

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

DXY

The euro remains in the uptrend, forming a chain of ascending highs. It is a good sign. It is also good that EURUSD feels more and more confident above 1.32. Yesterday the intraday high was set at 1.3238. Actually, we can’t say that the current growth of the pair is as speedy as the preceding decline. That drop was caused by the market expectations of QE-3 reduction in the near future. Meanwhile, the current growth results from the revision of these expectations. The same hypothesis is proved by the US debt market. There last month’s upsurge of yields has been almost more…

EUR and GBP to test important resistances

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The euro/dollar remains in the uptrend. Last week the level of resistance moved from 1.3000 to 1.3050. And the resistance of bears is only at 1.3170 now. Technically,  a “flag” is forming. And usually it spills over into continuation of a trend. In our case, should 1.3170 be broken through with confidence, traders will get a buy signal with the approximate target at 1.3570, which is our long-term target. Talks about further growth will be sensible only after these levels are reached. Yet the ability of the single currency to stand firm above 1,36 seems to be more and more doubtful more…

The dollar’s decline slows down

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Though Wall Street is close to record levels, Forex has been rather quiet over the last 24 hours. While S&P 500 yesterday closed at the highest level in history, EURUSD failed to break even through the highs of Thursday night. The only achievement of bulls yesterday was that they managed to stop the correction at 1.30, taking the pair to 1.31. Well,  it’s not bad, taking into account that just a couple of days ago the pair was at the three-month low of 1.2750. Anyway, the market hasn’t yet built the present-day tempered attitude to the stimulus rollback in the rates. more…

America is spending. Again

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday trading in the currency market was going on under the flag of measured consolidation after recent fluctuations. The dollar index (DXY) has rolled back from the three-year highs, reached on Friday. Anyway, commentators are almost all unanimous in predicting the further dynamics of USD. The continuous stream of favourable news releases each time reminds of the upcoming end of bond purchases by the Fed. In addition to Friday’s data yesterday we got Consumer Credit statistics from the Federal Reserve. It was reported that the consumer debt growth in May made 19.6bln against the expected 12, having become twice as quick more…

The ECB and BOE emphasize differences of their and the Fed’s policies

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The European CB and a bit earlier the Bank of England contributed to decline of their domestic currencies by 0.9 and 1.3%, respectively. The differences in the economic situations of these countries made the heads of these CBs accentuate the differences of their policy and that of the USA, which is about to negotiate the stimulus rollback. Thus, at yesterday’s press-conference Draghi put a special stress on the phrase that “the key ECB interest rates would remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time”. Just two press-conferences ago he said that the Bank “never pre-commited”. It was more…