Fast and furious Draghi

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Draghi, who yesterday celebrated the second anniversary of his tenure as president of the ECB, acted in a very unexpected way. The ECB lowered the refinancing rate by 25 basis points to 0.25%. The deposit facility rate was kept unchanged at the zero point. The interest rate was also cut by 25b.p. to 0.75%. At best the governing council was expected to have given some hints at taking action in a month or to have announced liquidity support through other tools of the ECB. Draghi again proved to be more maneuvering than considered by many. At the press-conference he pointed out more…

EURUSD is ready to pierce the resistance

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The euro doesn’t even think to retreat. Yesterday’s correction in the pair from 1.3790 to 1.3740 by the beginning of the US session had ended with another uprise to the upper bound of the new channel. And in the Asian session today after a short respite the pair is again testing the resistance of the channel. Among yesterday’s statistics only the Consumer Confidence Index for the eurozone is of interest – it showed some improvement. However, it is hardly possible that growth of the index from -14.9 to -14.5 is the reason for the positive sentiment in regard to the single more…

Games of the dollar

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The Congress voted for the debt ceiling increase. Now the Treasury is allowed to take loans at least till February 7. Exactly by this time all disagreements regarding the deficits and government spending structure are expected to be eliminated. Besides, the Treasury is allowed to take measures to postpone the date, when it runs out of money. According to different estimates, it may be in March-April. But it doesn’t mean that the political crisis is postponed till that date. The nearest deadline, set by lawmakers, is December 13 – by that time the lawmakers will have to approve a long-term deficit more…

Denying to the last

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

It’s a funny thing: already today the debt ceiling negotiations should come to the end otherwise default will occur already tomorrow, but for all that the markets manage to see the positive in the news from Washington. They are merely denying the problem. From the psychological point of view, the markets are just at the first stage – denial – and they still have to go through anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance. Yet, the other stages will scarcely be favourable for stock indices and the US dollar. Now the most probable way out is seen in another compromise with the debt more…

Politicians may reach an agreement on Tuesday

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Just yesterday we pointed out that decline of stock exchanges was caused by lack of interest in the dollar, but already today we see quite a different picture, though at the limited scale. The senators’ hint at the possible conclusion of the fiscal deal on Tuesday made stock exchanges grow – the S&P 500 futures exceeded 1700 pips – yet the single currency was falling only during the US session, when indices were growing intensely. Later, when the general positive mood spread to other markets, EURUSD set off in the upward direction. Now trading is held at 1.3570, which 20 pips more…