Bulls try to heat up EUR

EUR/USD

The single currency was being purchased on Friday as if along a ruler. The euro/dollar was growing strictly within the narrow upward channel. It speaks not only about presence of big buyers, accurately picking up the pair, but also about absence of any idea in the markets. The pair remains in the grip of uncertainty of the ECB’s policy. Despite the inflation slowdown, in Germany as well, most members of the Bank’s governing board treat a rate cut or any other easing of the monetary policy as a certainly pernicious thing with economic growth in the background. Anyway, market participants keep more…

Resistance to USD growth

EUR/USD

Yesterday the US assets were again in demand. While stock exchanges were recouping the losses incurred at the end of the previous week, the US dollar was trying to partially offset the earlier losses. EURUSD fell down to 1.3790 yesterday, but soon it found buyers, who brought it back above 1.3800. Those market forces once again disabled taking control over the dollar despite the strong inflation data. CPI grew to 1.5% y/y against the supposed 1.4% and 1.1% a month ago. It is also remarkable that the core indicator, that with food and energy excluded, also returned to 1.7%, which was more…

Ready to retrace

EUR/USD

The euro/dollar keeps growing and has already risen close to 1.3900. The dollar demand has been less strong this week, which is partly a result of the lower interest in the US stocks and partly – of the realization that the ECB won’t move in the direction of new incentives, while the EU economy is improving. Regarding stocks, we can see the growing confidence of investors in the inevitability of a retracement in the near future. Besides, lately the core indexes feel difficulty with growth and are trading flat, while volatility indexes have declined to the levels, speaking about a possible more…

Don’t wait for Draghi to be mild

EUR/USD

We have a new record of S&P 500 and a new tide of pressure on the single currency. The pair is obviously prevented from going above 1.3800. It was being pushed away from this level since the very beginning of the EU session and after the release of the Final GDP data the euro selling became even more methodical. The final rates proved to be worse than the initial estimates, showing the growth of 0.2% in the fourth quarter of the previous year and the annual rate of 0.4% against the initial 0.3%. France and Germany published their final estimates already more…

Markets grew quiet in anticipation of the political resolutions

EUR/USD

The emerging markets feel pressure in connection with risk aversion, while futures and indices of the developing countries as well as the currency market remain relatively quiet. The thing is that the main political fight is still ahead. The overwhelming majority of the Crimean people, as expected, voted for annexing to Russia. America and the new authorities in Kiev, as expected, don’t recognize the referendum and speak about intrusion of the Russian troops into the Ukraine. The West is threatening with sanctions, though the observers,  including the foreign ones, note that the referendum was carried out quietly. The risks are very more…