USD’s across-the-board rally

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The single currency keeps falling against the dollar. The governors of the world’s global CBs in their speeches only emphasized the divergence between the US and EU policies, whereas Madame Yellen was less mild about the monetary policy prospects mainly due to the rather favourable employment statistics in the recent months. Of course, here we should take into account that the strongest data were on the employment/unemployment rate, while the earnings growth and participation rate were obviously far from perfect. But this way or another the EU affairs are much worse. If the US unemployment shrank by 3.8%, the EU one more…

Speculators seek to sell USD prior to Yellen’s speech

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Speeches of Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chairwoman, are often full of cautious comments and are generally treated by the markets as rather dovish. Being just a certified candidate for chair of the Fed, she already maintained a softer stance than Ben Bernanke, so the markets even staked that her advent would help to stop QE reduction. This year she has aroused a fresh tide of anxiety regarding the policy toughening when pointing out that unemployment below 6.5% wouldn’t be a reason to consider raising the rates. Instead the Fed  began to focus on a wide range of employment indicators. Thus, Janet more…

Suspension of USD’s rally

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The employment statistics proved to less favourable than expected. The labour market created 209K of jobs instead of the expected 230. The private sector employment increased by 198K against the forecasted growth by 225K. The average earnings haven’t grown against the previous month, which anyway hasn’t posed an obstacle for growth of the annual rate from 1.9% to 2.0%. But still it is worse than the supposed acceleration to 2.2%. It seems that employers don’t hurry to raise earnings despite the impressive increase in the number of jobs. Possibly, the reason is that there is a huge number of potential workers, more…

USD has been bought beforehand

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

This week we expect a whole series of important macroeconomic news from the USA. It will all start with the release of the GDP data for the second quarter on Wednesday. Further the baton will be picked up by the FOMC’s decision on QE and interest rates and by employment stats on Friday. The GDP is expected to show impressive growth against the recovery after the disastrous first quarter in the background. The Fed will hardly suggest anything new except for the 10-billion tapering of the asset purchasing programme, but traders and investors will still look for hints at the earlier more…

EU currencies get support from stock growth

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s growth of stock exchanges helped the single currency in thin trading. While the main capital markets (Britain and the USA) were closed, stock index futures were attacking the new highs. Thus, S&P 500 not only managed to set a new record at 1900, but also to close out the day above that level. In the meantime, the technical analysis shows that this indicator is overbought. Strictly speaking, it doesn’t promise an immediate reversal at these levels. So those who play against the market should be more careful. The current position of the index urges to look out for the moment more…