EUR isn’t allowed above 1.3750

EUR/USD

Yesterday we witnessed a fierce fight between bulls and bears. The latter thwarted three attempts to push the pair below 1.37. The former failed to raise the rates above 1.3750. However, both the camps seemed to spare their strength before the important end of the week. Today the main event for the euro/dollar is a press-conference of the ECB head after the regular monetary policy meeting. As has been mentioned earlier, despite the economic recovery the eurozone still needs incentives. In this connection we supposed that when an opportunity came up, that is when inflation slowed down and the  situation with more…

Yellen stopped growth in EUR, but not in the markets

EUR/USD

The single currency didn’t venture to attack 1.37 on Tuesday. Growth was impeded by the market’s anticipation of further tapering by the Fed. It’s noteworthy that Yellen’s claims were quite reserved and generally in line with the traditions of the obscure rhetoric acquired by the Fed’s presidents.  She remarked that should the recovery go on at a forecasted rate, the QE will be curtailed with the current pace (by 10bln monthly). In the meantime, stock traders took her comments optimistically, getting themselves into eager selling. Since the beginning of February the market has recouped three fourths of the losses incurred at more…

Draghi is beginning to resemble Trichet

EUR/USD

The euro climbed quite high yesterday, after Draghi’s words that the monetary policy doesn’t need any adjustment now. The ECB is still confident in the positive effect of the November rate cut, but adds that it is not very visible yet. We’ve frequently mentioned that the currency markets suffered a period of even higher rates  of the euro short-term loan before the New Year Day. The impact of the decline by quarter of a percent can be noted only with other conditions being equal, which never happens in the market. And the unwillingness to take advantage of inflation slowdown to ease more…

Modest attempts of EUR to grow

EUR/USD

The Asian markets are making slight attempts to recoup the losses, while the US exchanges are balancing in indecision. The indices have fallen by 5% from their high, but yet don’t rush to pull back, preferring to wait for the US employment statistics first. In regard to EURUSD we can see the formation of a modest uptrend. Having opened at 1.3510 on Wednesday, it closed near 1.3530, yet the intraday low and high were above the corresponding rates of the previous day, and those in their turn were higher than Monday’s rates. This modest tendency can be attributed to the market’s more…

Statistics again hang over EURUSD

EUR/USD

EURUSD keeps plying between 1.3490 and 1.3540. Within this narrow range the single currency is expecting important news from Europe, that is the final PMI for the services sector in January and employment in the US private sector by ADP. In the former case analysts on average don’t expect any changes, despite the more optimistic estimate for the manufacturing sector a couple of days ago. If the initial estimate is revised up, it may support the single currency as it will shatter doubts about the ECB’s tomorrow resoluteness. Yet, stats on the US employment have the greatest risk potential. ADP is more…