The UK Turns Against EU

EUR/USD

The single currency doesn’t feel like growing, which increases the risk that it will be pushed down. The European summit demonstrated an unexpectedly strong resistance of the UK to the closer European integration. Before the Summit the mass media and politicians had been building up a stir over it, calling this event crucial for the euro. But as always the miracle did not happen. Though there were some positive shifts. The European Central banks have agreed to grant the IMF loans, which may eventually be spent to rescue the troubled countries. Yet it circumvents the law according to which the supranational more…

Have the central bankers finally saved the world?

EUR/USD

It’s not a sure thing but the chiefs of the Central Banks and the heads of the governments seem to have come to understanding of each other at last. The former are ready to take more drastic measures, while the latter are looking to more balanced budgets. Of course, they will do one in exchange for another. That vicious spiral (economic downturn – rising budget deficits – tightened credit terms – economic downturn) is very likely to break. On Wednesday we witnessed coordinated actions of the Central Banks. And on Thursday we heatedly discussed Mario Monti’s revelation of the ECB’s intention more…

Kind Uncle Ben pushes up the markets. Bet against the dollar.

EUR/USD

The unexpected decision of major central banks to ease the interbank lending by means of Libor-OIS swap rate reduction by 50 basis points caused an impressive rally. By the end of trading on Wednesday, shares of financial companies went up by about 6%, S&P 500 grew by over 4%. An hour after the announcement the dollar index fell by 1.3%. This is a serious movement as it poses a significant risk to the technical picture of the dollar growth in November. EURUSD pair which showed the intraday low at 1.3260 after the decision immediately soared up to 1.3530. Lately, the market more…