Forex is again trading sideways

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

EURUSD still looks as if it was nailed to 1.3520. Yet, to be more exact, there were attempts to bring the pair above 1.3550, but they proved to be futile. Earlier, when risk demand was directly correlating with the pair’s performance, the increasing geopolitical risks put pressure on the euro until it caused growth of energy prices. However, now the divergence between the currency market and other asset classes looks more and more obvious. The convergence is observed only as far as the influence on the prospects of interest rates is concerned. The euro is not affected by the growth of more…

USD’s attack on EUR

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The single currency was depreciating all day long yesterday. The pair managed to stop its decline only close to 1.3520. Now trading is held about 10 pips above this local low. Despite the fact that the considerable part of the decline occurred after Yellen’s speech before the Congress on Tuesday, it is hard to find connection between these events as other currencies don’t show such dynamics. The cable, the Aussie and the yen suffered some losses yesterday and the Loonie didn’t manage to grow. The reason for the pressure put on the euro is seen in the policy easing in the more…

Profit taking in GBP

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Monday didn’t abound in important news releases and statistics. Anyway, the single currency managed to slightly grow against the dollar and the pound. At the very beginning of trading in Europe EURUSD rose by 40 pips due to the stronger risk demand, which we highlighted in our yesterday’s review. However, by the end of the day the positive had dispersed. To some extent it was a result of Draghi’s claims in the EU Parliament that purchases of public and private debt fall ‘squarely’ within the ECB’s mandate. Many officials in Germany and other core countries, including members of the ECB, are more…

Fed to end QE by October

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

As reported in yesterday’s meeting minutes of FOMC, if the US economy maintains the expected growth rate, the Fed will announce the end of QE already in October. It means that at the October meeting the decrease will make 15bln and before that, in July and September, asset purchases will be reduced by 10bln. It is unlikely that the Fed will give up this course for a quicker one because of the strong employment data. It is remarkable that the minutes highlighted concerns about investors’ possible misinterpretation of the  risks in the hope that interest rates will remain low for long. more…

EUR grows against the news

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The single currency is trying to grow against the news. The main reason for bulls’ enthusiasm is the cautious tone of the ECB members, who are usually neutral about the monetary policy. The Bank’s representatives  make it clear that QE can be expected only if the situation  in the EU deteriorates sharply. Now it’s hard to imagine what it can be – either a new spiral of the debt crisis or, which is more likely, economic slowdown with inflation remaining low. It’s important that investors should ignore signs of economic slowdown in the eurozone, as across the ocean there aren’t any more…