EUR and GBP to test important resistances

EUR/USD

The euro/dollar remains in the uptrend. Last week the level of resistance moved from 1.3000 to 1.3050. And the resistance of bears is only at 1.3170 now. Technically,  a “flag” is forming. And usually it spills over into continuation of a trend. In our case, should 1.3170 be broken through with confidence, traders will get a buy signal with the approximate target at 1.3570, which is our long-term target. Talks about further growth will be sensible only after these levels are reached. Yet the ability of the single currency to stand firm above 1,36 seems to be more and more doubtful more…

USD is sliding down

EUR/USD

The single currency was gradually declining on Thursday, but this decline was very small. The pair got support at 1.3070. And today during the Asian session EURUSD rose to 1.3140. The pressure on the dollar, about which we’ve been talking since the release of FOMC’s meeting minutes, is beginning to tell. We still stick to the opinion  that the US currency will be getting weaker in the coming days and weeks. To some extent it is connected with the fact that other countries show more and more improvement. In regard to the USA, optimism is restrained because of the disappointing reporting more…

Waiting for Bernanke with bated breath

EUR/USD

The market has again come to a standstill and to be on the safe side locked in profits after 8 days of growth. Today Bernanke gives another speech and expectations of this event are given extensive coverage in the press. First of all, it is caused by broad market movements in the opposite directions after the previous two speeches (the press-conference after the FOMC’s decision and the speech given in Cambridge on the occasion of the Fed’s centenary). But that is not all – it turned out that Bernanke’s speeches to the lawmakers usually provoke stronger fluctuations in the market than more…

RBA hints that AUD is low enough

EUR/USD

EUR/USD is trying to break above the channel, where it has been consolidating in the recent days. Now the bulls are striving to reach 1.31. But it seems that the fate of these attempts will be decided by the German ZEW. If it goes far beyond the forecasted rates, the scales will be tipped in favour of the euro. Yet, it should be mentioned that already now this indicator is at quite favourable levels. In the evening the markets can be also affected by the US inflation statistics, but these data have been pushed to the sidelines,  since the Fed relies more…

Getting off the bottom?

EUR/USD

Stock exchanges are not willing to retreat. Inspired by the Fed’s comments that the stimulus rollback in the near future is not a settled question, traders and investors have shifted their attention to the corporate reports. The recent statistics have been rather good since the expectations were not very high. The messages about good incomes from big corporations liven up the rally, which has already brought several closes at the record levels. Now we only have to wait for the renewal of the high hit on May 22 in S&P 500. Against such a background EURUSD feels better than a couple more…