Don’t try to stop the train running down full speed

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The tug-of-war in EURUSD goes on. Strong impulses to sell end with gradual purchasing of the pair. Yesterday the lightning sale, which pushed the euro down straight by 60 pips in a bit more than an hour, turned into the victory of bulls. At the end of the day the positive news background finally gained the upper hand. And as a result, we are again about to break through 1.34. Surprising enough, but the good news came from Germany. The preliminary estimate showed quite a handsome increase in the Manufacturing and Services PMIs. In January the Manufacturing PMI grew to 48.8, more…

The Big Picture

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday EURUSD spent the whole day between 1.3260 and 1.3320. As we said earlier, the markets are set for consolidation after the strong growth, however it’s really hard to find a reason to purchase the dollar. The Treasury has sharply decreased borrowing in the markets, which in its turn makes the need to purchase the dollar less strong. Besides, the EU peripheral debt markets are again attracting capital since yields are now back to their normal levels. In the news background Germany’s economic outlook for this and next year is of interest. If the outlook is correct, the EU locomotive will more…

A battle for technical levels

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Demand for safe havens is still very strong in the markets. By now the single currency has fallen down to 1.3280. Last Thursday it was hovering around this level before Draghi’s press-conference. Moreover, this area served as a strong resistance in the last three weeks of the previous year. Thus, today we are to see an interesting skirmish between the bulls and bears. In case the bulls win the battle the former resistance will turn into a support, from where the currency will continue to grow. So now we only have to wait. Yesterday’s statistics didn’t have any significant influence on more…

Europe’s awakening

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s fluctuations were really impressive. Excluding the yen with the political nature of its rally, the market was squeezed in narrow daily ranges for a long time. It seemed that already nothing could rock that boat. But yesterday the good auction results in Spain were enough to stir up the market. Draghi’s concentration on the economic indicators instead of the financial sector also made its contribution. Now for details. The yield of Spanish 5yr bonds fell down below 4% yesterday in comparison with the peak of 6.46% in July. The bid-to-cover ratio was also at a quite favourable level of 2.07. more…

Forex bulls are slightly ahead

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday the US dollar was much weaker than expected. The few speculators, still staying in the market, tried to take EURUSD to 1.33, but were stopped at 1.3280. After that even the moderately negative news from the USA was enough to push the pair below 1.32. The Consumer Confidence stats were poor. Concerned about the impending fiscal cliff and frightened by press releases, Americans were very cautious about their spending and tempered their optimism. As to spending, we have a preliminary estimate of the pre-holiday activity.  It wasn’t very impressive with growth of just 1% against 2% last year. The same more…