Asia is on the defensive

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The single currency continued its trip up on Monday. As a result, it reached a high of 1.2440. Ifo Business Climate proved to be better than expected and grew for the first time since April, while had been expected to fall. The index grew from 103.2 to 104.7 against the expected 103.0. Both the components of the index rose – Current Assessment and Expectations. Under such conditions growth of the single currency could be stronger, but it didn’t happen because of the pressure the euro suffers from the expectations of a more active extension of the ECB’s balance for the sake more…

Deceitful weakening of USD

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The US dollar opened the week with a gap against the EU currencies, but immediately lost its advantage. The negative factor here was the ECB’s mood for further easing of the monetary policy and expansion of the incentives by possible bond purchases. After Draghi’s speech to the Parliament at the end of the previous week it became more possible that during the press-conference at the beginning of December it will be announced how fast and on what terms the European CB will purchase public debt of the EU countries. As it is absolutely clear that the current bond purchases are miserable more…

Despite the strong statistics USD suffers pressure

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The single currency is still being purchased. Besides, since yesterday EURCHF has grown by about 15 pips, which is not much, but is a weekly high. Thus, the SNB can be behind this support for the single currency. But if it is the work of the Swiss, the Bank will soon start selling the euro and buying other currencies for diversification of the reserve portfolio not to stake solely on the depreciating euro with the negative interest rates. Now EURUSD is trading at 1.2560 – it is close to the weekly highs. But also it should be noted that the support more…

FOMC faces headwinds

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

USD fell under pressure yesterday after the release of the FOMC’s meeting minutes in October. Then the Committee stopped bond purchases, so market participants expected to see the discussion if it was reasonable in the minutes. Among the voting members there was only one dissident – Narayana Kocherlakota, who appealed for further QE until inflation reached the target rates. It is an extremely dovish position, but it was long known to the market and so didn’t arouse any surprise. The minutes were remarkable for comments that inflation would remain low for a while despite the large-scale quantitative easing, which was already more…

Good news from Germany helps EUR and stocks

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Thanks to the strong statistics from Germany, the single currency managed to continue forming a short-term uptrend. The German ZEW index has risen to 11.5 in November, which is the first increase of the index since December 2013 and is much above the forecast rate of just 0.9. It is of interest that the Current Situation Index also has grown (often it moves in the opposite direction from the general index). Yet, the growth was very little, just 0.3 points up to 3.5. The ZEW Economic Sentiment for the entire eurozone also proved to be better than expected. In November it more…