EUR keeps crawling down

EUR/USD

The European session began with the fresh pressure on the single currency. Before the release of Final Manufacturing PMI the euro had been pushed from 1.3640 down to 1.3590. Most likely, it had been connected with the earlier reaction of the market to the inflation statistics in the German lands, which at the end of the day was to form into the overall picture. Then it turned out that the actual data failed to meet the forecasts, so the euro’s decline was accounted for by fundamental factors. The EU Services PMI in May was revised down to 52.2 instead of the more…

USD again has MAY in its favour

EUR/USD

Thursday and Friday ensured a short break for the single currency. Despite the traditionally increased demand for dollars at the end of the month, most players preferred to take profits, giving other currencies a chance to recoup themselves. May is customarily a favourable month for the dollar, and this year hasn’t been an exception. In the first days of May the currency dropped from almost 1.400 down to 1.3585 on the speculations around the coming rate cut. The most important thing, in our opinion, was decline below the 200-day MA. Going below this level is able to cause serious strengthening of more…

Bulls’ defensive line

EUR/USD

The revised statistics on the US GDP in the first quarter proved to be even worse than that poor growth rate of 0.1%, which we saw a month ago. The revised data showed that the economy was shrinking at the pace of 1.0%. These data are really poor, yet they were soon diluted by quite favourable employment data. The weekly unemployment claims decreased to 300K, which is much better than the expected 321K and the preceding rate of 327. The continuing claims are still in the downtrend, making now only 2631K. This unemployment downtrend was exactly that very factor, which outweighed more…

Losses of EU currencies

EUR/USD

Spurred by the increased demand for US assets, EURUSD fell down to a fresh three-month low at 1.3587. Investors’ outflow from the sterling looked really remarkable – it was going on simultaneously and was even more conspicuous. And all this happened without any clear signals of weakness in the eurozone as well as in Britain. This state of affairs sends us to seeking reasons outside Europe. The price of US stocks, in the meantime, is rallying and remains in the overheated zone. There is a feeling that EU currencies are losing investors right to ensure stock purchasing in the USA and more…

Don’t say that we haven’t warned

EUR/USD

Despite the fact that the currency’s depreciation after the drop below its 200-day MA doesn’t look swift and impressive, the downward movement still exists. Now the single currency can hardly find any support in the news. At least, in the news of the eurozone. Wednesday’s data on the German employment proved to be very poor. Instead of the expected decrease in the number of the unemployed by 14K in May, we saw its growth by 24K. For all that, the unemployment level remained unchanged – 6.7% – the lowest one since the Germany’s reunification. Yes, now there is no doubt about more…