Soft pressure on the euro

EUR/USD

The single currency is trying hardest to catch at 1.36. Yesterday it slipped from 1.3668 to 1.3585 in the course of the sluggish EU session. The only thing which prevented it from further  decline was strengthening of risk demand that was supporting the US exchanges. Whatever skeptics say about the minimum effect of the ECB’s measures on the euro, it still exists. In the currency market the rates have shifted from the euro to the dollar, so in the quiet market we see prevalence of gradual  euro selling in favour of the US currency. The latter will function more as a more…

Growing risk demand

EUR/USD

The employment data almost completely met the forecasts and even slightly exceeded them. The number of jobs grew by 217K in May against the initially expected 214. With this indicator it is more of an accident rather than regularity. Despite its importance this indicator cannot be forecasted, mainly because it is leading and as such affects other trends. The other parameters of Friday’s US employment statistics also met the expectation or slightly surpassed them. The private sector employment increased by 216K, which is much different from ADP’s data (179K). Average hourly earnings show slow, but steady growth. The annual growth rate more…

Why the ECB failed to put pressure on the euro

EUR/USD

The single currency frayed traders’ nerves a lot yesterday. Its initial decline from 1.3540 to 1.3501 for about an hour was recouped by the reverse growth and closing at 1.3660.The ECB cut all the three rates, making the bank deposit rate negative. So what aroused purchasing of the single currency again? First of all, the demand for risky assets, provoked by the rate decrease. After all, it often supports the single currency. Then it is a correction of the forward guidance, which now states that the rates won’t be reduced again. It was expected that the ECB would also take other more…

The narrow channels of Forex

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s attempt of the euro to come off  the four-month lows proved to be futile. The euro/dollar has been plying between 1.3585 and 1.36550 for over a week. The certain dissatisfaction with the US statistics, due to the poor employment data from ADP, could strengthen the single currency only for a while yesterday, taking it to the upper bound of the range. As reported by that company, the US private firms in May increased the number of jobs by 179K instead of the expected 217. The rates for the preceding two months were also revised down. The foreign trade data also more…

EUR is trying to grow against the news

EUR/USD

Yesterday we again saw how the market was ‘selling’ facts. The so-much-awaited report on consumer prices in the eurozone showed slowdown. The annual inflation is again at the lows of March (0.5%). Those, in their turn, are the lowest in five years. Before the release of the data the euro/dollar had  been pushed down and the pair again had hit the local lows at 1.3585. However, the released statistics stirred short covering. It was supported afterwards. As a result, the euro grew to 1.3646. Since no input data have changed and the ECB is still expected to ease the policy, yesterday’s more…