Poor US stats push EURUSD above 1.25

EUR/USD

The single currency continues its ascent due to USD’s retreat. The latter is under pressure since the economic statistics proved to be poorer than expected by market participants. Actually, it is a franker acknowledgement of the necessity to lock in profits in USD before the final phase of the year. After Thanksgiving Day the market is likely to get more speculative and nervous. It can be vulnerable to sharp upsurges (the Pre-New Year rally) and dips (correction before the end of the year). But since in the preceding months we have seen impressive growth of the US currency and assets, correction more…

Sentiments causing a pullback

EUR/USD

The market’s unwillingness (or inability) to continue purchases of USD is so strong that it contradicts the current macroeconomic background and forces market participants to look for any chance to lock in the profits. Thus, yesterday’s revised statistics on GDP in the third quarter proved to be surprisingly strong. The annualized growth made 3.9% against the preceding rate of 3.5% and the expected downward revision to 3.3%. The growth rate against 3Q of the previous year totaled 2.4%, which speaks about quite an impressive economic growth. Also, it should be noted that the Personal Consumption Index also rose by 2.2%. Earlier more…

Asia is on the defensive

EUR/USD

The single currency continued its trip up on Monday. As a result, it reached a high of 1.2440. Ifo Business Climate proved to be better than expected and grew for the first time since April, while had been expected to fall. The index grew from 103.2 to 104.7 against the expected 103.0. Both the components of the index rose – Current Assessment and Expectations. Under such conditions growth of the single currency could be stronger, but it didn’t happen because of the pressure the euro suffers from the expectations of a more active extension of the ECB’s balance for the sake more…

Deceitful weakening of USD

EUR/USD

The US dollar opened the week with a gap against the EU currencies, but immediately lost its advantage. The negative factor here was the ECB’s mood for further easing of the monetary policy and expansion of the incentives by possible bond purchases. After Draghi’s speech to the Parliament at the end of the previous week it became more possible that during the press-conference at the beginning of December it will be announced how fast and on what terms the European CB will purchase public debt of the EU countries. As it is absolutely clear that the current bond purchases are miserable more…

Despite the strong statistics USD suffers pressure

EUR/USD

The single currency is still being purchased. Besides, since yesterday EURCHF has grown by about 15 pips, which is not much, but is a weekly high. Thus, the SNB can be behind this support for the single currency. But if it is the work of the Swiss, the Bank will soon start selling the euro and buying other currencies for diversification of the reserve portfolio not to stake solely on the depreciating euro with the negative interest rates. Now EURUSD is trading at 1.2560 – it is close to the weekly highs. But also it should be noted that the support more…