Bulls’ feast

EUR/USD

Yesterday the dollar hit fresh multiyear lows in Forex, depreciating against the majority of its rivals. It is remarkable that it was boosted not only by the news on the dollar, but also by the relatively favourable statistics from other countries. The contrast between the USA and other countries is no longer that sharp. But, let’s start from the beginning. The EU PMIs generally proved to be better than expected, which contributed to growth of the single currency against USD. In addition, Portugal officially has exited the bailout two weeks ahead of time. Ireland exited it already in December, Spain did more…

Germany is odd man out

EUR/USD

There was little economic news on Monday, which explains sluggishness of trading that day. EURUSD was fluctuating in the incredibly narrow range, mainly within the 1.3870 – 85 channel. Probably, only the Sentix Investor Confidence is worth considering. In May the indicator made 12.8 against the expected growth from 14.1 to 14.2. Producer prices in the region expectedly fell by 0.2% m/m and the annual decline proved to be a bit better than forecasted, totaling 1.6% instead of the preceding and expected 1.7%. The fact that prices remain negative after 12 months and fall from month to month since the beginning more…

Plain payrolls, mixed reaction

EUR/USD

Friday’s data on the US employment proved to be surprisingly favourable. The employment grew by 288K and the statistics for the preceding two months were revised up by 36K in total. The unemployment decline, which looks really shocking at first sight (from 6.7% to 6.3%) is ensured by another decrease in the workforce. In April the participation rate again occurred at 62.8%. This is a low, which has been hit only twice in modern times – in October and December 2013. Before that the indicator was that low only in the late 70s, but at that time it was in the more…

Roller Coaster

EUR/USD

The single currency was put under heavy pressure after the release of Germany’s inflation data. EURUSD dipped down to 1.3800, formally leaving the gap uncovered: the high was hit at 1.3878. As expected, Germany’s consumer inflation proved to be lower than forecasted by the experts at the beginning of the week. The annual rate of price growth in the largest German economy made 1.3% against the expected 1.4%. This acceleration against last month’s 1.0% y/y was provoked purely by the low base effect as in April the prices tumbled by 0.2%. The ECB members often say that the long period of more…

EUR &GBP: cautiously awaiting statistics

EUR/USD

Yesterday the single currency went as high as 1.3878. The bears, who had put pressure on the currency earlier in the day, were punished, but the higher movement could already be provoked only by serious reasons. There weren’t any, so trading stabilized at the neutral 1.3850. Market players behave quite cautiously now in anticipation of piles of  important statistics on Europe and the USA. Regarding trends, inflation data will be of utmost importance for the single currency. Tomorrow we expect the Preliminary EU CPI for April, and today we will get inflation statistics on the German Lands, which may also affect more…