AUD is crushed by slowdown in China

EUR/USD

The euro-bulls still hope to offset at least a part of the dollar’s appreciation. On Friday they managed to take the pair up to 1.2980. But at these levels the pair found enough buyers, which threw it off closer to the middle of the traded range. The short-term support, which appeared last week, still works, showing signs of a feeble uptrend. Probably, it will become stronger if the EU statistics are favourable and the US ones are poor. The EU trade balance can be one of such news. It has been steadily high in the recent months due to the economic more…

Finding a reason for correction

EUR/USD

EURUSD has been flat since the beginning of the week, but even this is not enough to state a sharper growth of the dollar index since last November. Each currency has its own reasons to depreciate against the dollar. Thus, the euro is under the pressure of deterioration of the investment climate due to the sanctions against Russia. The cut of the interest rates by the ECB last week also hampers the attractiveness of the single currency. Anyway, the reaction last week and earlier this week was so strong that on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday bears managed only to maintain their more…

EUR: controlled by bears

EUR/USD

Hardly had the EU currency took one feeble attempt to adjust its decline yesterday, when bears overtly reminded it who controlled the market. The pair tumbled from the level of 1.2960 down to 1.2880. The major fundamental factor is low interest rates in the  eurozone, which put pressure on the money market – investors are trying to withdraw their assets from Europe to the USA or other countries and this exerts pressure on the single currency. But on the other hand, now yields of the US bonds are growing, which means that their prices are falling  and this is already a more…

Overbought USD

EUR/USD

1.2859 is another new low in EURUSD. Since the moment when this low was hit at the beginning of the EU session the pair has been consolidating above 1.2900. Though it is hard to believe in growth of the single currency on some good news from the eurozone, there will be reasons for a pullback in the pair. Now market participants are building the earlier end of the QE programme and/or the earlier beginning of rate increases into the rates. It is obvious from the reaction of the debt and stock markets, but the currency market seems to have already made more…

Nothing will ever stop the dollar

EUR/USD

EUR keeps waging an attack as if it made up for the unimpressive beginning of the year. Then the dollar was expected to show almost immediate growth, believing that QE tapering was a good reason for the currency’s appreciation. However, as seen, this reason is posed by the prospect of the rate increase. It’s of interest that market participants often ran ahead of time then, expecting earlier toughening of the policy, though already in a few months there was nothing else to do but suppose further incentives. Now the situation seems to have changed radically. According to the Fed’s research, the more…