During last week, the pair was going up, coming off slowly from the support line of the wide uptrend channel since last December. If we look to the pair movement through this channel, we can notice that movement in May was indicative (two previous movements took almost the same time) and fast movement from its upper boundary to the lower. However, the probability to break the support of the uptrend channel was quite big.

At least Federal Reserve members were helping it a lot, showing, one after another, that possibility and necessity of a soon policy tightening exists. Still market participants were more…