EUR fell in anticipation of the rate cut

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Such strong fluctuations in the euro aroused by inflation stats haven’t been seen for long. Inflation at 0.7% y/y in the eurozone (against the expected 1.1%) made EURUSD drop by about two figures. By now EURUSD has declined to 1.3539, taking into account that Thursday’s high was at 1.3738. Undoubtedly, selling of the euro coincided with the period of the dollar’s appreciation at the beginning of the day, but then the decline was getting momentum on its own. The low inflation rates, which were observed both in strong Germany and weak Italy, enabled large investment banks to expect that the ECB more…

USD correction. Day two

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Yesterday the US dollar was evenly appreciating during the day. The bulls’ attack, which drove EURUSD from 1.3755 to 1.3815, proved to be short-term. It occurred when ECB Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny told MNI that the ECB would have to put up with the strong euro as it doesn’t have any tools to combat it. Soon the downtrend resumed and the pair closed the day at 1.3740. Now the downward movement is still going on and the local low has been set at 1.3730. Quite likely, the bearish attack will be getting momentum. The dollar’s appreciation is mainly connected with more…

CBs on standby

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

Having hit a new high, EURUSD has again stalled. Now the market is consolidating around 1.3800, a week ago it was 1.3650 and before that from September 19 till October 17 trading had been held at 1.3500. The same picture, though at a larger scale, was observed in the market during the superrally of 2005-2008. Then the market was pushed by the difference in the ECB’s and Fed’s policies. The former was extremely vigilant regarding inflation under the guidance of Jean-Claude Trichet. The latter had already fallen into the trap of a housing and commodity bubble, when on the one hand more…

EUR is moving up regardless of economic slowdown

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The single currency hit fresh two-year highs against the dollar. Yesterday’s high made 1.3824. It is remarkable that the market should be so persistent, purchasing the euro. The thing is that Flash PMIs for France, Germany and the whole eurozone proved to be much worse than expected. Instead of increasing the French manufacturing activity shrank even more, which is reflected in the drop of the index from 49.8 to 49.4 against the expected 50.3. In Germany the situation is a bit better, but the index still failed to meet the expectations. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 against the forecasted 51.6. more…

EURUSD is ready to pierce the resistance

By GG Analyst in Reviews 0 Comment

EUR/USD

The euro doesn’t even think to retreat. Yesterday’s correction in the pair from 1.3790 to 1.3740 by the beginning of the US session had ended with another uprise to the upper bound of the new channel. And in the Asian session today after a short respite the pair is again testing the resistance of the channel. Among yesterday’s statistics only the Consumer Confidence Index for the eurozone is of interest – it showed some improvement. However, it is hardly possible that growth of the index from -14.9 to -14.5 is the reason for the positive sentiment in regard to the single more…