Unpredictability of Forex

EUR/USD

Stock exchanges sighed with relief on the news that Obama and the republican leaders hope to avoid a government default. The recent messages point out that the best thing we can get now is an agreement on a short-term debt ceiling increase to gain time for negotiations. As we saw in the preceding three times, the farther the deadline was the farther the positions of the parties were. Now there are more incentives to look for a compromise to overcome the political crisis. But it is not our case. Thus, the US markets have grown by almost three percents from the more…

Waiting for the happy end

EUR/USD

Sometimes in films the most dramatic episodes are shown in slow motion so that we feel all the peripeties and depth of the moment. This time it was the same – sticking to its cinematic principles, the States is inching its way into the catastrophe, showing in detail how characters are trying to save themselves as well as the whole world. Yet, in this case events are real, so a happy end cannot be guaranteed. Besides, after the successful rescue in the dying seconds (many quite reasonably believe that politicians will have come to an agreement right by the deadline) life more…

Dissolving of the government shakes trust in USD

EUR/USD

If in the first hours and days after the deadline the US dollar didn’t suffer much pressure, now it is obviously getting in the downtrend. It is especially clear against appreciation of the single currency. The thing is that the euro is supported by the fact that the political crisis of the Italian government has been resolved. Berlusconi’s party supported Premier Letta in the vote of confidence, which occurred under pressure of the party and its leader. Besides, Obama himself makes the situation tenser. In the political game against the republicans he reminds that further delay in the budget adoption decreases more…

A modest downtrend

Yesterday the market kept pushing the single currency down. It is remarkable that this process is going on gradually, without jerks. Already for five trading sessions in a row EURUSD has been showing a series of descending highs and lows. Yet, if at the initial stages the market was moving against the news, now the process is in tune with the released statistics. Yesterday’s data on German activity by Ifo proved to be worse than expected. Instead of the supposed growth to 108.4 the index reached only 107.7. It is not bad, taking into account that it is the highest level more…

Bears will try to break below 1.35

EUR/USD

Players are gradually taking their profits after selling of USD. As we know, the market can go against fundamental factors for a while if technical analysis presupposes such a movement. Something like that was observed yesterday in the euro/dollar. The Prelim PMI for the eurozone was not bad. Despite the disappointment with slower growth of Germany’s manufacture, where the index has fallen from 51.8 down to 51.3, the services sector has surged, demonstrating the highest activity since last February. And it’s been only the third month for the last 2 years, when Germany’s services sector improved so much. So, the news more…